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POLL: Muhlenberg Pennsylvania Dems


Muhlenberg College

Pennsylvania
Clinton 51, Obama 41

 

Comments
killias2:

Just a few notes: this poll started polling well over a week ago, before even the Casey endorsement and Obama's tour through PA. While that doesn't mean its wrong, it could mean its -slightly- tilted towards Clinton.

I'd guess: 7-8% race at this point, although that could quickly change one way or the other....

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killias2:

I should've said "over a week ago." It started last Thursday, not like last Monday or anything, but I can't edit old comments...

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Dan:

This is a rather confusing poll...when respondents were asked who they'd be likely to vote for, Clinton wins 49/38. But when asked who they are leaning toward, Obama wins 46/38. I'm not sure how to interpret that.

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Jeff:

Dan, the 46/38 are from the 11% who initially reported they were undecided. It's a standard test for leaners and simply means the undecideds are breaking slightly in Obama's favor. Do note however this is a very small number of actual people (43), so Obama's 46% is roughly 20 people.

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cinnamonape:

All the polls that started on those dates correspond with the Muhlenberg Poll...but all those that started just a day or two later obtained much higher results - within 4%. That suggests that Union endorsements, key political endorsements and physical appearances and Press coverage can make a major difference.

Clinton had essentially saturated Pennsylvania, while many PennStaters were complaining that Obama had barely made an appearance. Once he did the attention he gave was rewarded in kind.

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