Pollster.com

McCain at +6 is 2 points more than 538 projection and apparently good news for McCain. Obama does not need Missouri unless he loses Ohio and Michigan. However Missouri would certainly help Obama as then he would not need to win Colorado for example. Would naming Senator Claire McCaskill as VP be enough to put him over the top there?

MO should go light red on the map, I think this state will be tough for Obama to steal. Very high unfavorable ratings in MO.......

Missouri will go McCain

I would like to see more polls out of MO, OH, NV, CO, FL, etc. I think Pollster, 538, etc. need to update their state-by-state colors. MO/FL should be pink and OH/MI should be yellow on this site.

marctx: I agree except MI. MI is clearly blue imho.

ooh, ugly stuff here for obama.

the 2 combined favorable categories for each adds up to more for mccain by a greater margin than indicated in the straight up/down poll above. but the worst part and i mean "election alert" is the enormous 'Unfavorable' rating that has now seeped into the obama polling profile.

it's that "very unfavorable" category approaching 30% for obama that is the cause for alarm. you do not see this for mccain, only a milder 'less favorable'.

people are clearly getting steamed. obama is beginining to polarize the electorate and this can only redound to mccain's favor.

Claire McCaskill ? What a joke, she's an embarrassment for all women.

Claire McCaskill = Ick! Reminds me of Pillsbury Doughboy's twin sister (chubby cheeks). Barely won her own Senate race (2006). Same experience as Obama--very little. Also boring.

It used to be that Missouri was a bellweather state. As Missouri went, so went the nation.

That may not be the case anymore as this state seems to be trending Republican. With Obama ahead nationally by roughly 2 to 5 points, polls consistently show Missouri more Republican than the country by about 10 points.

Given this Spring and Summer poll results in myriad states, the core of rural Republicanism "seems" to have shifted slightly westward, and peaks in states like Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas, and now Missouri.

This rural Republicanism continues in the Plains states, as per usual, but may be on the decline as we approach the Canadian border states of Montana and North Dakota.

My point is that if "bellweather" Missouri is more Republican now (ditto Kentucky), then somewhere else that shift has been offset, given Obama's slight national lead, by other states trending Democratic, and "may" include Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, and the Dakotas.

Lech

More GOP? Doubt it. National trend is more Dem. More like living up to "Show Me" rep. Lookin for red meat politics not blue wiggly jello.

I live in Kansas City and there is virtually no McCain presence here or in St. Louis. Obama has 27 offices across the state-John McCain Has 7. Rasmussen had Clinton leading Obama by nine points going into Super Tuesday. Obama won by 1. The polls are not reflecting what going on on the ground here in Missouri. It should be interesting.

@sherriot:
The Chiefs have been my favorite football team for decades. It looks as if they still have about two years to go before they get a superbowl run. I just hope Tony Gonzales can last that long. On the political side, I don't see Obama being competitive in that state. McCain probably doesn't need to spend that much there.