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POLL: Rasmussen Penn Dems


Rasmussen Reports

Pennsylvania
n=730 likely Democratic primary voters, fielded 4/17
Clinton 47%, Obama 44%

Links to article, topline results

[Date corrected -- thanks Thatcher]

 

Comments

Mark - "This election poll was conducted Thursday night, the night following a nationally televised debate between the candidates." - from the Rasmussen site. I am assuming you just had a typo on the number pad on your keyboard.

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kingsbridge77:

The good news from Rasmussen for Obama supporters: Clinton seems to be about to make little or no gains in PA, which makes it nearly impossible for her to win the nomination.

The bad news: In a GE matchup, McCain leads Obama by 6%.

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jsh1120:

"...The bad news: In a GE matchup, McCain leads Obama by 6%..."

I have to put that down (in part) to Rasmussen's almost universal tilt to GOP candidates in matchups with Democrats.

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illinoisindie:

this is great news... (and can we please stop giving absolute credence to polls that talk about events a lifetime away which is how the GE seems right now, much can happen in 6 months)
Okay so now I am convinced, worst case scenario for Obama is a 47%-48% loss to HRC which actually is great news for him.

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jr1886:

I like the trend in this poll. It should be noted this poll was conducted on Thurday night, a day after the "game-changing" debate in the word of Howard Wolfson.

Some good news from PPP to look for in their next poll on Monday:

We haven't done it before but since PA is showing such a high level of undecideds I'm going to ask people this weekend who say they're undecided who they're leaning toward, and we'll report both numbers. That should help bring a little more clarity to the race.
This should help us discuss the next poll and help us predict the likely outcome with a greater level of certainty.
https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=2799451770086337664&postID=4381110601887684263

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Louis:

The tendency to see every varaition in the polls as a trend is diheartening form people who one assumes spend much of their time following polls.

On a related issue Rasmussen (regardless of what one may think of his methods) at least acknowledges daily variation may be the result of 'statistical noise". Gallup to often, apparently to get more press attention, seems to interpet every daily hiccup as a trend. Despite the potential for developing a database, this is why I dislike daily polling,no more real information but a lot more noise.

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jr1886:

I agree with you and I like to laugh at MSNBC every day when Gallup releases its daily national numbers. However, I disagree with you on this Rasmussen PA poll. This is a 6% point reversal from last week. Clinton is -3% and Obama is +3% and many polls have shown a closer race than expected.

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