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POLL: Suffolk University New Hampshire Survey


Suffolk University released a new statewide survey of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire (conducted 2/24 through 2/28). Support breaks down as follows.

  • In a Republican primary among 199 Republicans interviewed, 37% for former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, 27% for Sen. John McCain, and 17% for former Gov. Mitt Romney.
  • In a Democratic primary among 212 Democrats interviewed 28% for Sen. Hillary Clinton, 26% for Sen. Barack Obama, and 17% for former Sen. John Edwards.
  • In statewide general election match-ups, Clinton trails both Giuliani (40% to 50%) and McCain (39% to 51%) while Obama ties both Giuliani (at 41%) and McCain (at 42%).

[Editor's note: Although Suffolk University did not report a margin of error for subgroups, the margin of sampling error for a simple random sample of 212 is ± 6.4, assuming a 95% confidence level. The margin of error for 199 interviews is ± 6.9. By our calculations, neither the Giuliani-McCain nor the Clinton-Obama margins are statistically significant. Given the sample sizes, a candidate‚Äôs lead would have to exceed roughly 11 points to achieve statistical significance.]

 

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