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POLL: Suffolk University New Hampshire Primary


The third in a succession of Suffolk University/7NEWS statewide tracking surveys of likely primary voters in New Hampshire (conducted 1/2 through 1/3) finds:

  • Among 500 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mitt Romney runs at 29%, Sen. John McCain at 25% in a statewide primary; former Gov. Mike Huckabee trails at 13%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 9%, Rep. Ron Paul at 8%.
  • Among 500 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (37% to 25%) in a statewide primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 15%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error for both subgroups is 4.4%.

 

Comments
Paul:

Eric:
Above you say: "The third in a succession of Suffolk University/7NEWS statewide tracking surveys of likely primary voters in New Hampshire (conducted 1/2 through 1/3) finds:"

However, this is a January 3 press release, and according to the press release, primary voters were surveyed January 1 and January 2, not January 2 and January 3 as stated above. This means the poll can not in any way take into account the results from Iowa caucuses held on January 3. I would expect that tracking polls will show a change once the viability of Obama and Huckabee gets factored in from Iowa.

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Eric:

Paul, there appears to have been a delay today from when Suffolk emailed us the release and when they posted the survey to their site. As of now, the 1/2-3/8 survey is on Suffolk's website. Sorry for the confusion.

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Dave:

The Suffolk polls seem to have Clinton enjoying a much wider lead than the other organizations--is that a house effect, or is something else going on?

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