Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

POLL: SurveyUSA Clinton GEs in 12 States


Via DailyKos, new SurveyUSA automated surveys testing Sen. Hillary Clinton against former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Sen. Fred Thompson, and former Gov. Mitt Romney in statewide general election match-ups (conducted 8/10 through 8/12) find:

Alabama:
Clinton 44%, Giuliani 50%
Clinton 47%, Thompson 49%
Clinton 48%, Romney 46%

California:
Clinton 56%, Giuliani 39%
Clinton 59%, Thompson 34%
Clinton 60%, Romney 32%

Iowa:
Clinton 52%, Giuliani 40%
Clinton 53%, Thompson 40%
Clinton 51%, Romney 42%

Kentucky:
Clinton 49%, Giuliani 44%
Clingon 51%, Thompson 44%
Clinton 53%, Romney 41%

Minnesota:
Clinton 47%, Giuliani 44%
Clinton 50%, Thompson 41%
Clinton 52%, Romney 36%

Missouri:
Clinton 46%, Giuliani 47%
Clinton 48%, Thompson 46%
Clinton 49%, Romney 43%

New Mexico:
Clinton 49%, Giuliani 43%
Clinton 52%, Thompson 40%
Clinton 53%, Romney 38%

Ohio:
Clinton 48%, Giuliani 45%
Clinton 50%, Thompson 43%
Clinton 51%, Romney 40%

Oregon:
Clinton 52%, Giuliani 42%
Clinton 53%, Thompson 41%
Clinton 57%, Romney 37%

Virginia:
Clinton 49%, Giuliani 46%
Clinton 51%, Thompson 42%
Clinton 53%, Romney 39%

Washington:
Clinton 55%, Giuliani 40%
Clinton 57%, Thompson 38%
Clinton 57%, Romney 36%

Wisconsin:
Clinton 46%, Giuliani 46%
Clinton 48%, Thompson 45%
Clinton 49%, Romney 42%

 

Comments
Rob:

Clinton may be the strongest nominee the Democratic Party has had in decades.

____________________

Andrew:

These numbers are good for Hillary. Not great, but good.
And let's not forget that the corporate media has not focused on one Democratic candidate because there is uncertainty as to who will be the nominee. Once this is established, the lies and smears (see Swiftboat fabrications) and repetitions by the right-wing media aided by its sister the mainstream media will likely sink Clinton's, or Edwards', or Obama's chances.

____________________

Ben P:

I tend to agree with Rob, although I once thought she was a weak candidate. But now I think this is superficial.

I think Obama, and to a lesser extent, Edwards, have inflated favorability ratings that will be rapidly decayed when the national spotlight focuses on either one. I think this is much less the case with Hillary. In fact, I think that she will probably benefit from seeming more human and normal than I think the pre-existing media caricature suggests.

I also think that Giuliani's favorables are inflated because people don't know much about him. The other GOP candidates are Bob Doles.

____________________

Andrew:

It's unfortunate that Fred Thompson is struggling and just shuffled his campaign team again. He can't raise money and has delayed his candidacy announcement forever. Although I think Giuliani is beatable, Thompson looks more vulnerable to me, as you can see in the poll numbers.

____________________

E. McCallum:

For a politician with such high name recognition as Hillary, I do believe she is just beginning to "catch on". People thought they knew her based on all the spin that has been put out there about her. Hillary is proving to the country that she's the real deal. I left the Obama camp after attending three of his rallies, two of which required long-distance travel; after sending him money and after blogging favorably about him all over the internet. The guy's fantastic, but no way is he ready for the Presidency.

BTW, just one year ago, I was clearly in the "anyone but Hillary" camp. She has changed my mind and I never thought I would say it.

____________________

Andrew:

I'm hoping that Florida be stripped of all its delegates. This would benefit Edwards or Obama, who have a better chance in early states such an Iowa against Hillary. A victory in Iowa would resonate longer if Florida is taken out of the picture.

____________________

Matt:

You think the National mainstrem Press hasn't focused on the Democratic candidates? Wait till they get hold of Rudy. Most New Yorkers will will tell you before 9/11- Rudy was the tabloid ink equivalent to Paris, Britney and Lindsay --combined ! And we here in NY are waitng for the Real Rudy to do his ballistic trademark snap. You have no idea whats coming

____________________

nimh:

I'm gratified that, in Kentucky, the Clingon beats Thompson 51% to 44% ;-). Qapla'!

____________________

Casey:

Edwards is and will be the best candidate democrats can votw for, especially surrounding electibility...the farther left need to understand this. She could then be secretary of state or the next supreme court judge. Democrats need to gwt smart on the nomination..just like last election the republicans, such as Rove, are atttacking and hoping for Hillary (like the bust Kerry was)...I am a diehard democrat and want true change and our best chance is with John Edwards. Republicans quake thinking about him being the nominee.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR