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POLL: SurveyUSA in NY, NJ, CT


From SurveyUSA:

New York
McCain 55, Romney 21... Clinton 54, Obama 38

New Jersey
McCain 48, Romney 25... Clinton 51, Obama 39

Connecticut
McCain 53, Romney 31... Obama 48, Clinton 44


Title fixed. Thanks to all for the edit, we do appreciate it. Bear with us folks, the next few days will be pretty hectic, and we're only human.

--Mark Blumenthal

 

Comments
Andrew:

Eric Dienstfrey said CA. It should be CT.

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chris:

Obama seems to be closing the gap in Hillary's home territory while Barack has a huge lead in Illinois, and has taken the lead in some other smaller states. Looks like we probably won't see a clear winner after Super Tuesday based on these numbers.

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Neil:

Chris, I agree you are correct about the trends, but the movement might stop with these numbers. The polls late this week reflect the backlash against the Clinton smear job plus the South Carolina bounce. Last night was GREAT for Democrats but maybe not so good for Obama. Certainly, people are comfortable with Obama, but now they have been reassured about Clinton as well. She might have stopped the bleeding from the Clinton angst. All that said, your conclusion is now almost certainly correct, Tuesday won't decide anything, which is the biggest surprise of this election.

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Rasmus:

This website seems to have problems with my posts, no one of my posts appeared in the first attempt

I think Obama´s campaign lost a bit of its verve in the time before South Carolina, but now Obama is back on the right way.

I think his momentum ist not too big, but its there.
Clinton will get more delegates on Super Tuesday, but NEVER 2,025 or a big margin to Obama.
But she has got a great advantage with NY and NJ being WTA states (aren´t they?).
California might decide the tuesday night.

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Mark Lindeman:

Rasmus, no, NY and NJ are not winner-take-all for the Dems. But there is a substantial 'bonus' for the winner -- I think over 1/3 of delegates in each state are given to the winner, and the rest are allocated proportionally.

If you haven't had a Pollster.com post swallowed, you haven't lived!

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