Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

POLL: SurveyUSA Ohio


SurveyUSA

Ohio
Clinton 52, Obama 43... McCain 61, Huckabee 29, Paul 5
(Crosstabs: Dems, Reps)

 

Comments
Cade:

More bad news for billary. Doesn't look good for her at all.....

SUSA is a decent poller too. By March 4th it will be 50-50 if Texas is any indication. This thing is over.

When will she concede?

____________________

MSL:

It looks likes things, aren't looking good for Hillary. She's effectively tied in Texas, and 8 points up on Obama, a little more than two weeks out in Ohio.

It seems, she's not going to get the delegate count she needs.

If that's the case, she should bow/be forced out on May 5. Remember, she has to win huge in all the remaining states (providing Obama doesn't win any other states mind you), just to pull near.

I'm gonna look at these numbers, in this Survey USA poll.

____________________

Bree:

Hawaii is a done deal today:

http://www.touchtonepoll.com/

____________________

matthew:

excellent news for hillary. she's ahead currently and with michelle obama's unpatriotic remarks as well as barack obama's plagiarizing deval patrick's speech, the tides will continue to be in her favor, especially after the debate thursday.

____________________

The General:
____________________

illinoisindie:

Good news for hillary... are you kidding this is bad news he just shaved another 4 points off her lead when compared to the last survey USA poll and we still have two weeks to go... if he wins wisconsin tonight...which is more likely than not. Firewall or no firewall, she is in a predicament.

____________________

hope:

oh look, it is "the general" again! don't you have a KKK meeting to get to general?

____________________

Anonymous:

"Good news for hillary... are you kidding this is bad news he just shaved another 4 points off her lead when compared to the last survey USA poll."

Last SUSA poll had Clinton up 17 points. Thus, even worse for Clinton than you noted. I do admire the optimism that matthew displays, however. If we were on the Titanic together, he surely would have been a comfort to me before we slid under the water.

____________________

Bree:

Ironically, matthew reminds me of one of those Bush supporters. they just can't see the blue sky.

It's ok matthew. Denial isn't just a river in egypt.

____________________

C.S.Strowbridge:

"Elect eiter dove. It won't matter."

Ummm.... Nearly every poll I've seen has Obama leading McCain in key swing states, and leading big is some cases. (Missouri is the only exception I know of.)

Obama could win more than 100 EC votes more than McCain.

____________________

K S Sood:

Everyone says that Hilary must win Texas and Ohio. Surely if Barack narrows the clinton victory to just a bout a dew points, that in itself should be considered a kind of victory for presidential nominations.

____________________

Nick:

Cade,

Hillary will concede when she actually loses these contests. I'm an Obama supporter, but let's not count our chickens before they hatch. Remember New Hampshire, anyone?

____________________

joshua bradshaw:

Just curious can anyone correct me if I am wrong, but is not Bill Clinton the only ONLY Two Term Democratic President since FDR. that would be what 64 years between the last two democrats that were elected at least twice. If we reject clinton it is likely that we may see another drought as a result.

____________________

John:

Hey Obama supporters, remember CA, survey USA was the only 1 that predicted a win for her so what are you talking about.

If your really think he'll take Texas based on one fraud CNN poll, whereas others have her up by double digits then you sadly mistaken.

When the RNC reveals that they duped you Obama bots into picking an unviable candidate, you all will feel like the fools you really are in the general election.

____________________

Thatcher:

joshua -

technically, you are correct, however there were re-elected presidents from the Democratic party since FDR:

Truman essentially served 2 terms - He became president within a couple of months of FDR winning his 4th term.

JFK was assassinated 2 years into his presidency and LBJ was re-elected in 1964.

John -

When Obama was closing in on Hillary in CA, close to 750,000 people had already voted by mail. So, he might have got closer with people who were voting at the polls - but definitely had lost in the vote-by-mail category. Note that prior to his closing in, he was down over 12 points and came within 9 in the end. It would be very interesting to know the vote-by-mail and at-polls results.

A good example of this can be shown in the 1996 WA CD-3 race. Brian Baird was elected by voters at the polls in 1996 (unseating the incumbent Republican). He went to DC and start the freshman orientation, only to be called back by the WA Sec of State informing him that he had lost the race due to the vote-by-mail tally.

____________________

RS:

@joshua bradshaw:
That doesn't even make sense. So now you hold JFK's assassination against him? And poor RFK didn't even get a chance! Though we know what Senator Clinton's role model, LBJ did - start the Viet Nam war and decide - wisely, perhaps - against trying for re-election.

@John: Let's see what SUSA says (nice rhyme!) two weeks from now, on March 3, shall we?

Must shut down now.

____________________

matthew:

I'm also looking at the fact that this poll says 1% are undecided, whereas another poll from a few days ago had 12% undecided. something's not right there.

____________________

Brian:

Second wave of exit polling has Obama losing women 51% to 49% in Wisconsin. That number says it all tonight. He has two weeks to seal the deal in both Ohio and Texas. Anyone doubt team Obama?


____________________

Anonymous:

According to early exit polling the black voting block represented 10% of the Democratic electorate. We all know that in both Virgnia/Maryland that it was 2 to 3 times that of Wisconsin. It's game over Clinton supporters.

The black vote in both Ohio/Texas will reach atleast 20%.

____________________

Cokie Roberts:

"Anyone doubt team Obama?"

To win the Democratic primary? Not at all. Hillary will drop out March 5th.

To be an effective president? Absolutely doubt it.

Clinton needed to make a stand in WI, and lost the expectations game. Her leads in TX and OH will be gone by the weekend.

No excuses. America prefers Obama for the nomination and that is clear now.

____________________

Cokie Roberts:

"It's game over Clinton supporters"

I know. :-(

Now it's time to decide coin flip or dart board for McCain or Obama decision.

Good luck in November. You guys ran a class campaign.

____________________

Nick:

One thing Obama needs to do to win Texas is to keep this idiot off of TV:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/02/19/chris-matthews-humiliates_n_87493.html

Yikes. As an Obama supporter, I was cringing.

____________________

rowjimmy:

"Yikes. As an Obama supporter, I was cringing."

It was a rare moment to see Matthews, an avowed Clinton antagonist, go after an Obama supporter. Even the studio did not know what to do...it was like "off script" or something.

I was embarrassed for the process to see that idiot not be able to name ONE thing his candidate has done in the Senate. If I was going around supporting a candidate at the state level, I'd damn well know SOMETHING!

Ouch. Good thing Obama's got this in the bag.

Great work by the polls in Wisconsin. (sarc)

Should be +8 for Obama in Texas and +11 in Ohio by Saturday...

The fat lady is singing

____________________

Bree:

I agree, Oprah has sung. It is over for Billary. Hopefully, she will cease to waste any more money and concede soon so everyone can get united against the crypt keeper.

____________________

illinoisindie:

as Ive said before any poll thats taken more than 3 days before the election take with a grain of salt. Things happen like the idiot on msnbc with Chris Matthews. We dont yet know the hemmorage from that. For you Obama haters, (I can actually name his legislative accomplishments). Anyway, I think that he will win texas- not too sure about Ohio. His campaign manager is brillant did you guys notice that when he won Wisconsin he encouraged the crowd in Texas to go and vote early which after a big win would obviously favor him. That's the momentum that these polls don't capture.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR