Emily Swanson |
February 9, 2010
ABC News / Washington Post
2/4-8/10; 1,004 adults, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(ABC: blog psot, results; Post: blog post)
National
Do you think Obama is doing too much, too little or about the right amount to compromise with the Republican leaders in Congress on important issues?
9% Too much, 44% Too little, 45% Right amount
Do you think the Republican leaders in Congress are doing too much, too little or about the right amount to compromise with Obama on important issues?
8% Too much, 58% Too little, 30% Right amount
Do you think lawmakers in Washington should keep trying to pass a comprehensive health care reform plan, or should give up n comprehensive health care reform?
63% Keep trying to pass, 34% Give up on
Was the financial crisis of 2008 a global turning point? Did it mark the earliest stage in the decline of US power? Will historians view the financial crisis and the Great Recession as the beginning of a multi-polar world?
StrategyOne explored this issue further by using its proprietary Beltway Barometer survey to track elite Washington opinions on the subject.
The data we collected over two years and across three survey waves paints a picture of Washington's elite attempting to contextualize the financial crisis and global recession.
With one in four elite Washington Democrats and Republicans believing that the financial crisis "marked the end of American international dominance," American citizens and global policy elites should pause and consider the implications.
As the table below details, StrategyOne leveraged its Beltway Barometer survey of Washington elites to gauge policy influencer sentiment on this question on three occasions:
• September, 2008
• July, 2009
• January, 2010
We asked.
Some people believe that the financial crisis of 2008 marked the end of American international dominance. Do you agree or disagree?
The results (% agree below) were surprising (full xtabs here).
Sep., 2008_____________39% (Democrats Agree) /// 15% (Republicans Agree)
July, 2009_____________ 25% (Democrats Agree) /// 20% (Republicans Agree)
Jan., 2010_____________24% (Democrats Agree) /// 28% (Republicans Agree)
As you can see, at the present time one in four DC elites truly think that historians will look back on the financial crisis as marking the end of US hegemony on the world stage. They would likely point to massive deficits, sluggish growth and deterioration of the US dollar as a global reserve currency.
It is interesting to note that one in four Washington elites, those with the most to gain or lose from America's position on the world stage and those with the greatest firsthand knowledge of the situation, believe that America's influence is in decline.
Depending on one's viewpoint, this data can be startling, but for two very different reasons.
Those who acknowledge America's present difficulties, but see the country's strengths in an optimistic light are likely to be surprised that so many of the nation's capital elite view America's influence as in decline. They may view the opinion of this group as unpatriotic. They may also point out that the United States has had many bouts of doom and gloom in its history, including post-Sputnik fears of losing its science and technology lead and 1980s era concerns about Japanese competition. But, natural geographic advantages (a nation that can feed itself, good relations with its neighbors, large oceans to its east and west), a strong military, a large domestic economy, the rule of law and business innovation seem to give America significant staying power.
Those who focus on a surging Pacific Rim and an America deeply in debt, with an aging workforce and a devaluing currency are likely to be surprised that so few Washington elites see the writing on the wall. Like Martin Jacques, author of "When China Rules the World", this group views the rise of a multi-polar world as an inevitable product of economies like Brazil, China, India and others "catching up." They might ask how Washington elites are blind to this inevitable change.
And, as one might expect inside Washington, there are differences of opinion based upon party affiliation.
The Democratic Perspective:
Elite DC Democrats are modulating their thinking over time on this question. In the heat of the meltdown in 2008, with Bush as President, 39% agreed that the financial crisis marked the end of US international dominance. Now that number is 24%. The intervening variables are likely (a) the election of Barack Obama and (b) a perception that the worst economically is behind them.
The Republican Perspective:
On the other side of the aisle, elite Washington Republicans are now 13 points more likely to say that the financial crisis marked the end of US dominance. This is in line with their more pessimistic assessment of the US economy generally. It also may reflect a sour mood with President Obama now in the White House.
No matter the perspective, this is certainly one of the great questions of the age and StrategyOne will continue to track elite Washington sentiment on this question.
Emily Swanson |
February 9, 2010
Public Policy Polling (D)
2/4-7/10; 400 likely Democratic primary voters, 4.9% margin of error
423 likely Republican primary voters, 4.8% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Texas
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
39% Perry, 28% Hutchison, 24% Medina
(Medina supporters only) Would your second choice for Governor be Kay Bailey Hutchison or Rick Perry?
43% Perry, 39% Hutchison
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
49% White, 19% Shami, 5% Alvado, 2% Aguado, 1% Glenn
Emily Swanson |
February 9, 2010
University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll
1/27-2/3/10; 500 adults, 4.4% margin of error
444 likely voters, 4.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(UNH release)
New Hampshire
2010 Senate (trends)
Ayotte 41%, Hodes 33% (chart)
Hodes 36%, Bender 27%
Hodes 34%, Binnie 30%
Hodes 38%, Lamontagne 29%
Favorable / Unfavorable
Jeanne Shaheen: 48 / 39 (chart)
Judd Gregg: 54 / 23 (chart)
Paul Hodes: 32 / 27
Kelly Ayotte: 38 / 12
Jim Bender: 6 / 2
Bill Binnie: 10 / 4
Ovide Lamontagne: 12 / 9
Emily Swanson |
February 9, 2010
Magellan Strategies
2/4/10; 449 likely Republican primary voters, 4.6% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Magellan release)
New Hampsrhie
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
37% Ayotte, 23% Binnie, 12% Lamontagne
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
18% Kimball, 5% Testerman
Emily Swanson |
February 9, 2010
Rasmussen
2/5-6/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Ohio
2010 governor
47% Kasich, 41% Strickland (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Ted Strickland: 44 / 51 (chart)
John KasichL 47 / 30
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Strickland: 46 / 53 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 8, 2010
Rasmussen
2/4/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Colorado
2010 Governor (trends)
49% Hickenlooper (D), 45% McInnis (R)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Scott McInnis: 52 / 29
John Hickenlooper: 56 / 36
Emily Swanson |
February 8, 2010
Democracy Corps (D) / Common Cause / Change Congress / Public Campaign Action Fund
2/2-4/10; 805 likely voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Democracy Corps: toplines, Summary)
National
State of the Country
35% Right Direction, 58% Wrong Track (chart)
Obama Job Approval
47% Approve, 47% Disapprove (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Republican Party: 33 / 43
Democratic Party: 38 / 44
Barack Obama: 49 / 40 (chart)
2010 Congress: National Ballot
46% Democratic candidate, 45% Republican candidate (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 8, 2010
Rasmussen
2/3/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Nevada
2010 Governor (trends)
44% R. Reid (D), 35% Gibbons (R)
45% Sandoval (R), 33% R. Reid (D)
40% R. Reid (D), 36% Montandon (R)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Jim Gibbons: 35 / 63 (chart)
Mike Montandon: 39 / 29
Brian Sandoval: 53 / 30
Rory Reid: 40 / 52
Emily Swanson |
February 8, 2010
Marist
2/1-3/10; 1,072 adults, 3% margin of error
910 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
(all questions asked of registered voters unless otherwise marked)
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)
National
Obama Job Approval
44% Approve, 47% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 81 / 10 (chart)
Reps: 15 / 80 (chart)
Inds: 29 / 57 (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 50 / 44 (chart)
State of the Country (asked of all adults)
38% Right Direction, 54% Wrong Track (chart)
2012 President
44% Obama (D), 29% Palin (R), 15% Bloomberg (i)
If the 2010 election for congress were held today, would you support your current congressperson who represents your district in Washington D.C. or would you vote for someone else?
42% Current Congressperson, 44% Someone else
Emily Swanson |
February 8, 2010
Rasmussen
2/5-6/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Ohio
2010 Senate
Portman (R) 43%, Fisher (D) 39% (chart)
Portman (R) 42%, Brunner (D) 38% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Rob Portman: 45 / 24
Lee Fisher: 38 / 39
Jennifer Brunner: 43 / 32
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 51 (chart)
Gov. Strickland: 46 / 53 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
Economist / YouGov
1/31-2/2/10; 1,000 adults, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Economist release)
National
Obama Job Approval
46% Approve, 48% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 75 / 20 (chart)
Reps: 12 / 86 (chart)
Inds: 39 / 58 (chart)
Economy: 41 / 53 (chart)
Health Care: 40 / 54 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
10% Approve, 67% Disapprove (chart)
2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
43% Democrat, 38% Republican (chart)
State of the Country
32% Right Direction, 53% Wrong Track (chart)
Overall, given what you know about them, do you support or oppose the proposed changes to the health care system being developed by Congress and the Obama Administration?
46% Support, 54% Oppose (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
Rasmussen
2/2/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Nevada
2010 Senate (trends)
45% Lowden, 39% Reid (chart)
47% Tarkanian, 39% Reid (chart)
44% Angle, 40% Reid
44% Krolicki, 41% Reid
Favorable / Unfavorable
Harry Reid: 44 / 55 (chart)
Sue Lowden: 48 / 27
Danny Tarkanian: 50 / 35
Sharron Angle: 37 / 30
Brian Krolicki: 40 / 33
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 46 / 54 (chart)
Gov. Gibbons: 39 / 59 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
2/1-3/10; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)
New Hampshire
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
36% Ayotte, 27% Lamontagne, 4% Binnie
2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
46% Ayotte, 39% Hodes (chart)
46% Hodes, 36% Lamontagne
45% Hodes, 35% Binnie
2010 Governor: General Election (trends)
59% Lynch, 13% Kimball
Favorable / Unfavorable
Paul Hodes: 47 / 29
Kelly Ayotte: 54 / 24
Ovide Lamontagne: 34 / 39
William Binnie: 31 / 30
Barack Obama: 55 / 38 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
Rasmussen
2/2/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Colorado
2010 Senate (trends)
Norton 45%, Romanoff 38%
Norton 51%, Bennet 37%
Wiens 42%, Romanoff 40%
Wiens 45%, Bennet 40%
Buck 45%, Romanoff 39%
Buck 45%, Bennet 41% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Ken Buck: 43 / 26
Michael Bennet: 42 / 40 (chart)
Andrew Romanoff: 40 / 37
Tom Wiens: 35 / 30
Jane Norton: 49 / 31
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 45 / 53 (chart)
Gov. Ritter: 40 / 56 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
Rasmussen
2/1/10; 500 likely votrs, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Connecticut
2010 Governor (trends)
40% Lamont, 37% Foley
37% Malloy, 36% Foley
41% Lamont, 33% Fedele
36% Malloy, 35% Fedele
Favorable / Unfavorable
Michael Fedele: 39 / 22
Tom Foley: 42 / 22
Ned Lamont: 43 / 35
Dan Malloy: 43 / 29
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
2/1-4/10; 2,400 adults, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 56 / 42 (chart)
Nancy Pelosi: 40 / 51
Harry Reid: 26 / 64
Mitch McConnell: 20 / 62
John Boehner: 20 / 62
Democratic Party: 39 / 56
Republican Party: 32 / 59
State of the Country
39% Right Direction, 60% Wrong Track (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
1/13-14/10; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(McLaughlin release)
Florida
2010 Governor
41% McCollum (R), 30% Sink (D) (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 5, 2010
US: Palin, Tea Parties (CNN 1/22-24)
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
1/22-24/10; 1,009 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Sarah Palin: 43 / 46 (chart)
Tea Party Movement: 33 / 26
Emily Swanson |
February 4, 2010
Fox New / Opinion Dynamics
2/2-3/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Fox release)
Update: Tea Party and 2010 Elections
National
Obama Job Approval
46% Approve, 47% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 81 / 12 (chart)
Reps: 14 / 82 (chart)
Inds: 45 / 47 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
22% Approve, 69% Disapprove (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 51 / 43 (chart)
George W. Bush: 38 / 55
Rahm Emanuel: 14 / 24
Nancy Pelosi: 24 / 52
Democratic Party: 42 / 48
Republican Party: 42 / 46
Party ID
36% Democrat, 36% Republican, 22% independent (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 4, 2010
Rasmussen
2/2/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Kentucky
2010 Senate
49% Grayson (R), 35% Mongiardo (D)
48% Paul (R), 37% Mongiardo (D)
44% Grayson (R), 40% Conway (D)
47% Paul (R), 39% Conway (D)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Trey Grayson: 61 / 18
Dan Mongiardo: 45 / 43
Rand Paul: 54 / 26
Jack Conway: 47 / 32
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 42 / 57
Gov. Beshear: 49 / 48
Emily Swanson |
February 4, 2010
SurveyUSA / KWCH-TV / KCTV-TV
1/29-31/10; 519 likely Republican primary voters, 4.4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
Kansas
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
40% Jerry Moran, 33% Todd Tiahrt
Emily Swanson |
February 4, 2010
Rasmussen
2/3/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Illinois
2010 Senate
46% Kirk (R), 40% Giannoulias (D)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Mark Kirk: 55 / 33
Alexi Giannoulias: 46 / 39
Job approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 54 / 45
Gov. Quinn: 45 / 53
Emily Swanson |
February 4, 2010
Rasmussen
2/1/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Connecticut
2010 Senate (trends)
54% Blumenthal (D), 35% Simmons (R)
56% Blumenthal (D), 36% McMahon (R)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Richard Blumenthal: 70 / 27
Rob Simmons: 60 / 26
Linda McMahon: 51 / 34
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 51 / 49 (chart)
Gov. Rell: 67 / 33 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 4, 2010
Ipsos / McClatchy
1/28-31/10; 1,127 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Ipsos release)
National
State of the Country
37% Right Direction, 57% Wrong Track (chart)
Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 46% Disapprove (chart)
Dens: 79 / 19 (chart)
Inds: 53 / 31 (chart)
Reps: 19 / 79 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
21% Approve, 74% Disapprove (chart)
As of right now, do you favor or oppose the healthcare reform proposals presently being discussed?
37% Favor, 51% Oppose (chart)
Party ID
30% Democrat, 26% Republican, 45% independent (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 3, 2010
Magellan Strategies for Mark Kirk (R)
2/2/10; 885 likely voters, 3.3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Magellan memo)
Illinois
2010 Senate
Kirk 47%, Giannoulias 35%
Favorable / Unfavorable
Mark Kirk: 31 / 26
Alexi Giannoulias: 24 / 39
Barack Obama: 51 / 45
Emily Swanson |
February 3, 2010
Marist
1/25-27/10; 838 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
360 Democrats, 5.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)
New York
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
23% Paterson, 70% Cuomo (chart)
2010 Governor: General Election
46% Lazio, 43% Paterson (chart)
64% Cuomo, 27% Lazio (chart)
Job Rating
Gov. Paterson: 26% Excellent/Good, 70% Fair/Poor (chart)
Pres. Obama: 46% Excellent/Good, 54% Fair/Poor (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 3, 2010
Rasmussen
2/1/10; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Texas
2010 Governor
Perry (R) 48%, White (D) 39%
Hutchison (R) 49%, White (D) 36%
Medina (R) 41%, White (D) 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable
Rick Perry: 54 / 44
Kay Bailey Hutchison: 57 / 39
Bill White: 46 / 38
Debra Medina: 44 / 34
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 41 / 58
Gov. Perry: 50 / 48
Emily Swanson |
February 3, 2010
Quinnipiac
1/27-2/1/10; 2,182 registered voters, 2.1% margin of error
921 Democrats, 3.2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)
New York
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
55% Cuomo, 23% Paterson (chart)
2010 Senate: Democratic Primary (trends)
36% Gillibrand, 18% Ford, 4% Tasini
2010 Governor
40% Lazio, 39% Paterson (chart)
57% Cuomo, 25% Lazio (chart)
2010 Senate (trends)
44% Gillibrand, 27% Blakeman
35% Ford, 26% Blakeman
Favorable / Unfavorable
Andrew Cuomo: 54 / 16
David Paterson: 34 / 49 (chart)
Rick Lazio: 20 / 15
Kirsten Gillibrand: 33 / 22 (chart)
Harold Ford: 16 / 13
Bruce Blakeman: 11 / 4
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Paterson: 37 / 54 (chart)
Sen. Gillibrand: 42 / 28 (chart)
Sen. Schumer: 58 / 30 (chart)
Pres. Obama: 57 / 38 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
Rasmussen
2/1/10; 538 likely Republican primary voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Texas
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
44% Perry, 29% Hutchison, 16% Medina
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
Public Opinion Strategies for John McCain (R)
1/11-13/10; 600 likely Republican primary voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Public Opinion Strategies release)
Arizona
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
59% McCain, 30% Hayworth
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
McLaughlin & Associates for J.D Hayworth (R)
1/12-13/10; 500 likely Republican primary voters, 4.4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Politico story)
Arizona
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
49% John McCain, 33% J.D. Hayworth
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
Rasmussen
2/1/10; 500 likely voters, 4.55 margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Arkansas
2010 Senate
Hendren (R) 51%, Lincoln (D) 35%
Baker (R) 52%, Lincoln (D) 33%
Coleman (R) 50%, Lincoln (D) 34%
Cox (R) 50%, Lincoln (D) 36%
Boozman (R) 54%, Lincoln (D) 35%
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 33 / 66
Gov. Beebe: 73 / 24
Favorable / Unfavorable
Kim Hendren: 35 / 19
Blanche Lincoln: 36 / 59
Gilbert Baker: 40 / 22
Curtis Coleman: 39 / 19
Tom Cox: 36 / 22
John Boozman: 51 / 24
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
Harris
1/18-25/10; 2,576 adults
Mode: Internet
(Harris release)
National
Even if you don't know the details of his plan, how do you feel about President Obama's proposals for health care reform?
43% Support, 49% Oppose (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
Public Policy Polling (D)
1/29-31/10; 584 registered voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
National
Obama Job Approval
48% Approve, 49% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 83 / 13 (chart)
Reps: 8 / 88 (chart)
Inds: 48 / 48 (chart)
Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
36% Support, 51% Oppose (chart)
Generally speaking this fall will you vote Democratic or Republican for Congress?
43% Republican, 40% Democrat (chart)
If the Democrats don't pass their health care bill will you vote Democratic or Republican for Congress this fall?
43% Republican, 38% Democrat
If the Democrats pass their health care bill will you vote Democratic or Republican for Congress this fall?
45% Republican, 41% Democrat
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
1/20-31/10; 2003 Republicans, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)
National
2012 President: Republican Primary
16% Palin, 11% Romney, 10% Cheney, 7% Gingrich, 7% Huckabee, 3% Pawlenty, 2% Paul, 2% Thune
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
Public Policy Polling (D)
1/29-31/10; 810 likely voters, 3.4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Arkansas
2010 Senate
56% Boozman (R), 33% Lincoln (D)
48% Boozman (R), 37% Ross (D)
44% Boozman (R), 43% Beebe (D)
51% Boozman (R), 36% Clark (D)
53% Boozman (R), 30% Halter (D)
50% Baker (R), 35% Lincoln (D)
39% Baker (R), 39% Ross (D)
46% Beebe (D), 38% Baker (R)
45% Baker (R), 39% Clark (D)
45% Baker (R), 34% Halter (D)
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 38 / 58
Sen. Pryor: 29 / 46
Sen. Lincoln: 27 / 62
Gov. Beebe: 59 / 22
Favorable / Unfavorable
Gilbert Baker: 9 / 16
John Boozman: 32 / 25
Wesley Clark: 29 / 29
Bill Halter: 21 / 29
Mike Ross: 32 / 25
Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
30% Support, 61% Oppose
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
1/7-11/10; 500 likely Republican primary voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(McLaughlin release)
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
39% Whitman, 12% Poizner (chart)
31% Whitman, 17% Campbell,* 5% Poizner
*Note: Tom Campbell has dropped out of the governor's race to run for Senate
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R)
1/27-28/10; 800 likely voters, 3.5% margin of error
296 likely Republican primary voters, 5.6% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates memo)
Florida
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
44% Rubio, 30% Crist (chart)
2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
47% Crist (R), 29% Meek (D) (chart)
49% Crist (R), 27% Ferre (D)
42% Rubio (R), 30% Meek (D) (chart)
43% Rubio (R), 27% Ferre (D)
31% Rubio (R), 26% Crist (i), 24% Meek (D)
32% Rubio (R), 29% Crist (i), 19% Ferre (D)
2010 Governor: Republican Primary (trends)
39% Crist, 31% McCollum, 4% Dockery
2010 Governor: General Election (trends)
48% Crist (R), 31% Sink (D)
41% McCollum (R), 32% Sink (D) (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 2, 2010
SurveyUSA / KCTV-TV / KWCH-TV
1/29-31/10; 519 likely Republican primary voters, 4.4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
Kansas
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
40% Moran, 33% Tiahrt
Emily Swanson |
February 1, 2010
Rasmussen
1/27/10; 449 likely Republican primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Florida
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
49% Rubio, 37% Crist (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 1, 2010
Zogby
1/29-2/1/10; 2,525 likely voters, 2% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Zogby release)
National
Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 49% Disapprove (chart)
State of the Country
39% Right Direction, 53% Wrong Track (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 1, 2010
Detroit Free Press / EPIC-MRA
1/24-26/10; 600 registered voters, 4% margin of error
400 likely Democratic primary voters, 4.9% margin of error
400 likely Republican primary voters, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Free Press story)
Michigan
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
23% Ilitch, 9% Peters, 8% Dillon, 6% Bernero, 6% Kildee, 6% Stupak, 2% Wheeler Smith, 2% Bowman, 2% Early
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
32% Cox, 25% Hoekstra, 16% Bouchard, 3% Snyder, 2% George
2010 Governor: General Election
50% Cox (R), 28% Bernero (D)
47% Cox (R), 30% Dillon (D)
48% Cox (R), 30% Ilitch (D)
45% Hoekstra (R), 27% Bernero (D)
40% Hoekstra (R), 32% Dillon (D)
42% Hoekstra (R), 35% Ilitch (D)
Emily Swanson |
February 1, 2010
Public Policy Polling (D)
1/27-28/10; 710 likely voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Alaska
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 37 / 56
Sen. Murkowski: 52 / 36
Rep. Young: 43 / 41
2010 Senate
52% Murkowski, 25% Generic Democrat
2010 House
49% Young, 34% Crawford
Emily Swanson |
February 1, 2010
Marist
1/25-27/10; 838 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
360 Democrats, 5.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)
Update: Schumer release
New York
2010 Senate (B): Democratic Primary (trends)
44% Gillibrand, 27% Ford, 4% Tasini
2010 Senate (B): General Election (trends)
49% Pataki, 43% Gillibrand (chart)
52% Gillibrand, 30% Blakeman
52% Pataki, 35% Ford
39% Ford, 35% Blakeman
2010 Senate (A): General Election
67% Schumer, 25% Kudlow
Job Rating
Sen. Gillibrand: 24% Excellent/Good, 51% Fair/Poor (chart)
Emily Swanson |
February 1, 2010
Rasmussen
1/27/10; 1,000 likely voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Florida
2010 Senate
Crist (R) 48%, Meek (D) 33% (chart)
Rubio (R) 49%, Meek (D) 32% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Charlie Crist: 58 / 40 (chart)
Kendrick Meek: 38 / 36
Marco Rubio: 51 / 31
Emily Swanson |
January 29, 2010
Rasmussen
1/27/10; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Florida
2010 Governor
46% McCollum (R), 35% Sink (D) (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Bill McCollum: 53 / 30
Alex Sink: 39 / 34
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 42 / 58 (chart)
Gov. Crist: 51 / 47 (chart)
Emily Swanson |
January 29, 2010
Rasmussen
1/26/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Wisconsin
2010 Governor (trends)
42% Mark Neumann (R), 38% Tom Barrett (D)
48% Scott Walker (R), 38% Tom Barrett (D)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Mark Neumann: 46 / 35
Scott Walker: 56 / 27
Tom Barrett: 44 / 41
Emily Swanson |
January 29, 2010
McLaughlin & Associates (R) / National Review (R)
1/19-20/10; 1,000 likely voters, 3.1% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interveiws
(McLaughlin: toplines, PowerPoint)
National
Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 46% Disapprove (chart)
2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
42% Republican, 37% Democrat (chart)
Party ID
40% Democrat, 37% Republican, 20% independent (chart)
Emily Swanson |
January 29, 2010
YouGov / Economist
1/24-26/10; 1,000 adults, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Economist release)
National
Obama Job Approval
45% Approve, 49% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 77 / 18 (chart)
Reps: 6 / 91 (chart)
Inds: 38 / 57 (chart)
Economy: 40 / 54 (chart)
Health Care: 37 / 55 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
11% Approve, 64% Disapprove (chart)
2010 House: General Election
44% Democrat, 38% Republican (chart)
Right Direction / Wrong Track
27% Right Direction, 56% Wrong Track (chart)
Overall, given what you know about them, do you support or oppose the proposed changes to the health care system being developed by Congress and the Obama Administration?
45% Support, 54% Oppose (chart)
