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Polls and Tweets 'Outliers'

Topics: Outliers Feature

A new paper finds high correlation between approval ratings and "tweets"; Alex Lundry responds here (more here, here and here)

A new CDC report finds almost a quarter of American homes is "cell phone only."

Pew finds most support Arizona's immigration law.

David Hill says Democrats could lose women over high deficits.

Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart assess the Republican primary turnout gap advantage.

Mark Mellman ponders the implications of bell curves and improbable events.

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

I think all this talk about Republicans having a 15 point excitement gap over voting is predictable. I think back in 2002 and 2004 Democrats more than anyone wanted to counteract the Bush agenda. Especially in 2004, the excitement was there in the beginning, but than not enough people turned out in Ohio for Kerry to win. Back then There was a smaller gap between registered Dems and Republicans. I think there may have been a time when registered Republicans were nearly tied with registered Dems.

It is the independents that will make the difference in this next election. The GOP has a lead among indies, but that seems to be slipping. The Dems outnumber the Republicans, and if the Dems can split Independent votes, losses won't be as bad as expected.

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