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SurveyUSA: OK, WY (10/18-19)

Topics: PHome

SurveyUSA
10/18-19/08
Mode: IVR

Oklahoma 561 LV, 4.2%
McCain 59, Obama 35
Sen: Inhofe (R-i) 51, Rice (D) 39, Wallace (I) 7

Wyoming 604 LV, 4%
McCain 58, Obama 37
At-Large: Lummis (R) 50, Trauner (D) 44, Herbet (L) 4

 

Comments
BOOMFAIL:

Why?

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Trosen:

Well, there's your reason as to why national polls are "tightening" while McCain looks dead in the water in BG states. Red states getting redder. Of course, he could win OK and WY 98-2 and it's still just 10 EVs total.. Too bad, so sad.

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billwy:

@trosen:
You're dead wrong. McCain has lost ground in both of these states from Bush '04. In fact if you look at pollster's trend lines, the only places McCain is doing better than Bush did are Arizona +3, and D.C. +3.
You should do a little research.

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Hoosier:

According to Kos, the only states where Obama is running behind Kerry's numbers are Oklahoma and Tennessee.

Still, the Trolls can have these inbred states while we take FL, OH, VA, NC, IA, and CO.

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Ryan in MO:

the at-large race in wyoming looks like it could get interesting

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jlm9:

Is the Wyoming race a Senate or a House race?

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CTPonix4BHObama:

Its such a shame that it takes so much blue paint to cover these wide open spaces with no population.

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efrick:

@Hoosier:

Hey...this inbred Tennessean is voting Obama. Just because my Mother's family tended to marry their cousins doesn't mean I can't think critically.
I can count on my twelve fingers all of the reasons I am voting Obama/Biden!

Regards from the Deep South,

E.

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Tzal:

SUSA was probably interested in the down ballot races and just tossed the presidential preference question in for good measure.

That said, it would be newsworthy if Obama was within ten points in either of these states. It's a bit of a fishing expedition, but you don't know what you'll get unless you ask the questions.

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Jordan - San Marcos TX:

I don't mind every state being polled once a month or so. Especially with house and senate races being what they are. I'm intrigued by the down ballot WY race being so close.

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Jordan - San Marcos TX:

@ Hoosier

While certainly not an "inbred state", I would hardly consider the Hoosier State a capital of enlightenment either. Please consider this before demeaning entire populations.

For the record, my Texas down is seemingly carpeted with Obama signs right now.

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Jordan - San Marcos TX:

Oops, I meant Texas *town*.

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zhimbo:

@billwy

The point isn't about Bush's numbers. It's about McCain's numbers THIS cycle. Trosen's interpretation is that the modest increase in support is coming from Red States THIS cycle. Bush's numbers are not relevant.

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zhimbo:

Everytime one of the Red States or Blue States gets a poll up here, people as "Why?"

Here's why:
1. It allow you to interpret the national numbers. (e.g., If a race is tightening, is it tightening where it matters?)

2. Down-ticket races. Look at the Wyoming At-large seat!

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zhimbo:

Everytime one of the Red States or Blue States gets a poll up here, people as "Why?"

Here's why:
1. It allows you to interpret the national numbers. (e.g., If a race is tightening, is it tightening where it matters?)

2. Down-ticket races. Look at the Wyoming At-large seat!

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thisniss:

E:

good for you! I grew up in KY, live in NC now. I just wanted to confirm that all my inbred relatives back in KY are also voting Obama, even though Uncle Dad and Aunt Mom know they're waging a lost war there.

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Jordan - San Marcos TX:

I want to see TX polled again. Not because I want to gag at the 10+ point McCain lead, but to see if Rick Noriega has further closed the gap against incumbent John "d-bag" Cornyn. Last two polls had Cornyn only up by 7 and 6 points.

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Jordan - San Marcos TX:

Yeah, as absurd as those OK number are, they're less repulsive than the last few polls done there which had McCain up by 30 or more.

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Jordan - San Marcos TX:
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efrick:

@thisniss:

hi Cousin!

I am hopeful that on election night, the big news will not only be Obama's victory. The REALLY big news will be that a couple of ruby red states down here in the Confederacy (ie AR, TN) may go a lovely shade of blue. Who knows? Perhaps KY and WV may join the Blue Tsunami.....

As for my rationale: I can only provide anecdotal evidence. Friends and family that have never, and would never, under any circumstances, vote for a Democrat are virtually all voting Obama. This transcends age demographics (mid-20's to late 80's).

The most intriguing aspect of all of this: Several friends of a fundamentalist religious inclination are (quoting here) "creeped out" by Sarah Palin. They seem to think she is some sort of closet "end of days" zealot; none of them are anxious for any man-made attempts at a hastening of Armageddon. They also tell me that many in their congregations feel the same way and are voting Obama as well....

So tell Uncle Dad and Aunt Mom that perhaps a Kentucky surprise awaits them on election night!

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