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TX: 50% Perry, 38% White (WRS/GOPAC 8/29-31)

Topics: poll , Texas

Wilson Research Strategies (R) for GOPAC
8/29-31/10; 1,001 likely voters, 3.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(WRS memo)

Texas

2010 Governor
50% Perry (R), 38% White (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Rick Perry: 50 / 40

 

Comments
Paleo:

Houston, we have a problem. Fire destroys almost all of its voting machines.

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/7176111.html

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jmartin4s:

Perry at 50% in a GOP push poll in a GOP tilting year, this is not good for Rick Perry.

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nick283:

Even if it is a partisan poll, up by 12 isnt too bad.

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Field Marshal:

Agreed. Much different than the internal poll for Crist up by 1 or Bennet up by 2.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Rick Perry would lose any other year. People are tired of him, but there aren't enough democrats coming out to overcome the republican lean in this state. He's been relatively quiet on pretty much everything (except that one secession comment, which TX people like) this whole past term. Not one PEEP on immigration, other than saying fed gov't is not securing the border bla bla. This from the advocate of "virtual fences." He's made very strategic alliances with border mayors so the hispanic vote will not support him that strongly but they have no particular reason to organize against him. He's copied Bush in that regard with much success. There's a quiet understanding between TX governors and the hispanic community. Perry even spoke to La Raza's convention in San Antonio and reiterated his position that an AZ-style law is unneccessary in TX (and fed gov't isn't doing it's job on the border, bla bla).

White is reduced to hitting him on the problems he had from his 2002-2006 term, which was when he pissed off people the most, esp the Trans TX corridor and school textbook debacle. All he's really done in this 2nd full term is respond to hurricanes, which he's done a pretty good job of, especially after the lessons learned from Rita (he did screw up that evacuation) again...last term.

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Aaron_in_TX:

However,

This is an R poll. That means Perry is likely under 50 and White is in the low 40s. In a republican year like this, an R in TX *should* be getting close to 60%.

I say end result is Perry 52-46-2

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Field Marshal:
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Louis:

Field Marshall.
So a Republican organization posts a poll saying Republicans are winning. Thanks for the news flash.

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Field Marshal:

Your welcome.

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Paleo:

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/burns-leads-critz-in-internal.html

Here we go again. You figure they would have learned their lesson in May.

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ErikEckles:

It's too bad White didn't run in 2006, when the uncharismatic and uninspiring Chris Bell couldn't come close to defeating Perry, despite a fractured conservative vote and Perry's unpopularity at the time.

I'm hoping for an upset, but I don't see it happening.

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