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US: 2012 Pres (Gallup 10/31-11/1)


USA Today / Gallup
10/31-11/1/09; 1,021 adults, 4% margin of error
301 Republicans, 7% margin of error
347 independents, 7% margin of error
339 Democrats, 7% margin of error
ModE: Live telephone interviews
(Gallup release, USA Today story)

National

I'm Going to read you a list of possible Republican candidates in the 2012 presidential election. Please tell me whether you would, or would not, seriously consider supporting each for president

Among Republicans:
Mike Huckabee: 71% Yes, 25% No
Mitt Romney: 65% Yes, 31% No
Sarah Palin: 65% Yes, 33% No
Newt Gingrich: 60% Yes, 35% No
Tim Pawlenty: 32% Yes, 48% No
Haley Barbour: 26% Yes, 52% No

Among all adults:
Mike Huckabee: 40% Yes, 51% No
Mitt Romney: 39% Yes, 51% No
Sarah Palin: 33% Yes, 63% No
Newt Gingrich: 29% Yes, 63% No
Tim Pawlenty: 18% Yes, 60% No
Haley Barbour: 15% Yes, 65% No

Please tell me whether you think each of the following people is qualified or is not qualified to be president
Mike Huckabee: 50% Yes. 36% No
Mitt Romney: 49% Yes, 39% No
Sarah Palin: 31% Yes, 62% No
Newt Gingrich: 44% Yes, 46% No
Tim Pawlenty: 25% Yes. 51% No
Haley Barbour: 18% Yes, 57% No

 

Comments
The Moderator:

Really bad numbers for T-Paw - almost as bad as Palin's. This list fails to inspire the general public it seems.

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Stillow:

Outside the GOP primary voters no one knows who Huckabee or Romney are. Pawlenty is not a serious candidate,maybe a VP pick only. I suspect the battle will come down to romney and huck.....barring an outsider who jumps in out of the blue who could steal the show.

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libertybrewcity.blogspot.com:

Where is Ron Paul on this list. Since the last election his base of supporters has rapidly expanded!

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libertybrewcity.blogspot.com:

Where is Ron Paul on this list. Since the last election his base of supporters has rapidly expanded!

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The Moderator:

The 2008 Repub. primaries showed that RoPaul's support was deep but not broad. These folks yell a lot and spam internet message boards with "liberty watch" crap or whatever, but, in the end, they are a narrow fringe movement blinded by group-think and conspiracy theories. I don't think anyone in the know considers RoPaul a serious contender for anything more than poster-boy for unemployed "musicians" in Austin, TX.

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Aaron_in_TX:

I'm not really worried about any of these people. Huckabee will have so many crazy things on video thanks to Fox News it will be too easy. The other day Jon Stewart was showing a Fox News clip. Huckabee was sitting there as a guest on "Fox & Friends" listening to one of their "analysts" compare Obama to Hitler. Huckabee nodded in approval to the comment. People like Stillow may think Hitler/Obama is a fair comparison but the majority of people will find that distasteful. I'm sure there's more crazy where that came from.

I don't think ANY of the 2008 also-rans will be very competitive in 2012. It's not like they had the force of a movement behind them that almost got them to unseat an incumbent in a primary (Reagan), or came within a hair of winning a past election and could have disputed the results (Nixon). Huckabee and Romney ran crappy primary campaigns, Palin hurt McCain as much as she helped, and Pawlenty would not even win his home state.

I'm still betting that someone from the GOP comes out of the woodwork from the 2010 cycle.

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Stillow:

Aaron, I totally love you guys. For 8 years Hitler and Bush were BFF's according to liberals.....

That was much of the same nonsense you guys said about NJ and VA 6 months ago.

The left is in for such a eye opener its scary. You are in such denial about thwere the country is moving....you stick to the same old arguments of start name calling, the talking down your opponent. Wow, Obama wins with 52.8 percent of the vote, its all over, the GOP is dead....Romney can't win, Huckabee has no shot, Palin is out....Christie can't win, oooops!

You guys love diggin your own graves it would seem...and you do so with confidence and a smile on your face. I would urge the left to keep thinking this way as it worked out very very well so far in the post Obama era.

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Stillow:

Moderator

You are right. Paul supporters are like Kussinich supporters....kinda goofy....really loud, but not much there.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Romney can't win, Huckabee has no shot, Palin is out....Christie can't win, oooops!"

This isn't a good comparison. Former losers usually don't win. Name me someone who won that lost a primary in a past cycle. And don't say Reagan because he he almost took down the PRESIDENT in the 1976 republican primary. That was a show of stregnth, not weakness. Also not Nixon, he lost an extremely close election in 1960 and could have disputed it but didn't. And he never lost a primary.

I can name a lot of former losers who went on to lose, though. Dole, Lieberman, Biden, Mondale, Forbes, Keyes, Gephardt, Buchanan, Edwards, McCain. Irrespective of party, people who crash and burn tend not to bounce back enough to win in the future. People remember that they were losers. There are exceptions, but they are special cases.

I'm just saying the GOP would be better served by someone not tainted by losing. I've heard Mitch Daniels may be a contender.

Christie was not a former loser.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"For 8 years Hitler and Bush were BFF's according to liberals"

Yes, and most reasonable people considered that out of line.

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Stillow:

aaron, heheheeh, you ask me to name one and then you say I cannot name the times it happened......typical liberal argument....do this, just don't do the ones that happened....heheeheheheh, that was good.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Reagan's not a good example, that's why. He was the exception, not the rule. Name me another candidate who came that close to defeating a sitting president in a primary.

I suppose Ted Kennedy, but he never came as close as Reagan did and never ran for president again.

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Xenobion:

It would be hubris to not deny the growing left. We came out angry from Bush's policies. Think teabaggers are bad? You ain't seen nothing yet. Dealing with 1 year of Obama I almost have sympathy for this conservative movement. Where were they for the past 8 years of deficit spending?

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Stillow:

aaron, you been talking to my wife? Who asks me if she looks fat, then immediately follows the question with if you say yes i will kill you.

Libs...what would we do without you guys....

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Xenobion:

Without us you'd have a president, and control both houses :) But you're stuck with us :p

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Stillow:

You got me there...at least until November 2010.

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Xenobion:

I expect to see the left just as strong and energized to not lose what we voted in.

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Truthseeker:

If the Republicans were smart, they would nominate Huckabee. Since Republican and smart are antonyms, look for either Romney or Palin

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Stillow:

Anohter liberal telling the GOP who they should nominate....you ugys get more funny as the months go by.

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NJVoter:

If the economy improves Romney is out, Huckabee is too nice to ride out nasty presidential primaries. I suspect Jindal will be the more likely pick to go against Obama.

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RAG2:

@ Stillow:

Have a little respect for your political opponents. You don't have to agree with them; but you don't have to mock them either. "Hehehehe" and "hahahahaha" are REALLY IMMATURE.

PS. And your party now comes out with a health-care plan that covers only 6% of the 47 million uninsured, allows insurers to keep discriminating against sick people and people with pre-existing conditions, and saves less money (net) than the "expensive" Dem plans!

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