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US: National Survey (Kos 4/5-8)

Topics: poll

DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
4/5-8/10; 1,200 registered voters, 2.8% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

National

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 54 / 41 (chart)
Nancy Pelosi: 41 / 51
Harry Reid: 29 / 63
Mitch McConnell: 22 / 62
John Boehner: 19 / 63
Democratic Party: 40 / 52
Republican Party: 28 / 67

State of the Country
28% Right Direction, 58% Wrong Track (chart)

 

Comments
BH:

Here's how KOS sees the electorate this Nov. per this poll:

Party Count %
Dem 383 32%
Rep 301 25%
Ind 516 43%

LOL. FL&P telling us all how he "believes" this poll in 5..4..3..2...

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Phillip Roth:

DailyKos is so full of crap. No way Obama is at 54%. If you believe their numbers, I have some real estate to sell you on the moon.

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JMSTiger:

Research 2000/Kos still thinks it is November 2008.

I don't dispute their number for the Democratic Party, but there is no way the Republicans are sitting at 67% disapproval. Both parties are roughly equally disliked, as Gallup is currently showing.

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progressivewisconsin:

This is FAVORABILITY, not job approval. The pollster average of Obama's favorability is 51.7% so this is not far off at all.

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I can buy the fact that Obama's favorability is that high. Job approval is a different story.

What I have never quite bought about this DKOS poll is that 80% of 1200 random registered voters know who Mitch McConnell or John Boehner is and know enough about them to form an opinion on whether they see them favorably or not. The same goes for Pelosi and Reid although I think people would know them a little better than the Republican leaders.

I would like to know the actual question being asked about the congressional leaders. I didn't see it in the link to the poll.

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scottkj:

This is like Newsmax commissioning a poll. Daily KOS is so off base but it is what it is.

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jamesia:

Like it was previously stated, this poll is within the MOE of the average. No one poll is more correct with statistics... The take-home message is that after a year-plus in office, Obama is "bottoming-out" at a low 50's approval rate on average, which is incidentally the same margin that he won the popular vote. This is fairly impressive, as few Presidents retain support like that. The GOP will need to chisel off at the very least 10% of this to make their 2012 challenger even remotely viable.

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Fred:

there is no way McConnell and Boehner are that well-known.

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bonncaruso:

BH:

The current breakdown is based on etimates from the states of their current voter registration stats. The breakdown is not that unrealistic, but in a real world, there will be a higher democratic percentage. 32% is too low, it will be closer to 39%.

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