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US: National Survey (Pew 12/9-13)


Pew Research Center
12/9-13/09; 1,504 adults, 3% margin of error
416 Republicans, 6% margin of error
456 Democrats, 6% margin of error
561 independents, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release)

National

Obama Job Approval / Disapproval
49% Approve, 40% Disapprove (chart)
Reps: 19 / 73 (chart)
Dems: 83 / 11 (chart)
Inds: 42 / 44 (chart)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Republican leaders in Congress: 29 / 51
Democratic leaders in Congress: 36 / 47

Do you think that...
53% Barack Obama has a new approach to politics in Washington
37% Barack Obama's approach to politics in Washington is 'business as usual'?

Since taking office, have Barack Obama's economic policies made economic conditions better, worse, or not had an effect so far?
30% Better, 24% Worse, 39% No effect

So far, do you think Barack Obama is...
45% Trying to address too many issues at once
8% Focusing on too few issues
42% Doing about right

When it comes to national policy, who do you think Barack Obama is listening to more...
43% Liberal members of his party
31% Moderate members of his party

Would you say that Barack Obama has kept almost all of his campaign promises, most campaign promises, only a few campaign promises or almost none of his campaign promises?
8% Almost all, 28% Most, 33% Only a few, 24% Almost none

Do you favor or oppose Obama's decision to send more U.S. troops to Afghanistan?
51% Favor, 39% Oppose

Who do you think is more responsible for the current economic conditions
39% The Republican Party, 27% The Democratic Party, 19% Both

As of right now, do you generally favor or generally oppose the health care proposals being discussed in Congress?
35% Favor, 48% Oppose (chart)

Party ID
32% Democrat, 25% Republican, 38% independent (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Wow. 57% say he has kept little or no campaign promises and another 63% believe that his economic policies have either had no effect or made the economy worse!

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CUWriter:

Seems about right. Health care reform is adamantly opposed by the public and some of the lefty bloggers contentions that the opposition is driven by those who oppose it from the left has been pretty well disproven now.

Congressional numbers are pretty interesting too. GOP congressmen only have a 51/35 approve/disapprove from the base, while the Dems have 70+ approval from their base. Independents seem to feel about the same towards each party, in that they don't like them, but the numbers are getting better for the GOP while the Dems are not improving as much.

Obama's approval is right in line with most polls of adults and there is clearly areas for movement in both directions. This poll shows people still clinging to the idea that he has a "new way of doing things" in Washington, which is an area he could use to boost his overall approval. But his numbers on issues, save for his role as commander in chief, are falling.

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LordMike:

"opposition is driven by those who oppose it from the left has been pretty well disproven now."

Exactly how has it been disproven? Hardly anyone polls on this. you have two polls that support that contention, and one poll that doesn't.... how does that prove anything?

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LordMike:

Chuck Todd writes on Twitter on the NBC poll that will probably come out soon: "Most of the movement on the 'bad idea' comes from some of the president's core support groups, folks upset about lost public option."

Doesn't seem disproven at all...

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Field Marshal:

In any case, the tired notion that the republicans are the reason why health care reform isn't being done has been disproven.

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Xenobion:

"Who do you think is more responsible for the current economic conditions
39% The Republican Party, 27% The Democratic Party, 19% Both"

I'm quite surprised that most Americans still remember why we're here. There's hope yet...

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Field Marshal:

X,

I would give it another year or so before those numbers switch.

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Farleftandproud:

The whole partisan game and balance of power and flip flopping of the American public changes from week to week. Even if the GOP gets there way a year from now and even wins back the house and senate I don't think much of anything will truly change. It will be one side trying to use spin and propoganda to undermine the other. The problem is that the Democratic party has so many factions which include the interests of minority groups, femmists, white Progressives, gay rights groups as well as Blue Dog democrats trying to win in the bible belt and very conservative districts. The GOP in contrast has social conservatives, Libertarians, Military Hawks, gun rights voters and than you have the more moderate wing of the party that tends to be pro choice, yet fiscally conservative. All things considered the GOP is an easier party to govern. Democrats are put on a pedestal as the party of change. It makes expectations far greater.

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Xenobion:

FM as we're seeing the bottom of this recession I seriously doubt Republicans will be given the win on the recession they started.

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Bigmike:

Xenobion

We may have technically seen the bottom of the recession, but I would hardly call things rosy.

While the MSM did not give it a lot of play, at least that I saw, inflation is up from minus 0.2% in Oct to plus 1.8% in Nov. 2% in one month! That might make sense if unemployment were coming down much faster than it is, but that number only dropped from 10.2% to 10.0% in the same time span.

Sure smells like Jimmy Carter all over again. I doubt Democrats will be given the win on the stagflation they created. You remember stagflation. The term was coined specifically for the Carter years.

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IdahoMulato:

Spin, spin, spin. No critical analysis; it's all about reiterating talking points even when one is faced with stark reality that counteract talking points.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"inflation is up from minus 0.2% in Oct to plus 1.8% in Nov. 2% in one month!"

The average rate of inflation over the last decade was about 2.9%

A small amount of inflation is probably good considering we saw pretty massive deflation after the financial crisis. The average inflation rate for 2009 will probably be something like -0.8% Or did you think deflation was a good thing? Everything everyone owns has DECREASED in value, so anyone who sells anything is selling it for less, no one is spending money or taking risk, businesses have been cutting inventory, lots of jobs, etc... I expect we'll see the Fed raise interest rates in the next couple months though, because you want to hold inflation down.

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