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US: National Survey (TIME 7/12-13)

Topics: National , poll

TIME / Abt-SRBI
7/12-13/10; 1,003 adults
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Time story)
(Update: Full results here)

National

2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
Likely voters: 43% Democrat, 42% Republican (chart)

Obama Job Approval
49% Approve, 45% Disapprove (chart)
Foreign Policy: 52 / 41 (chart)
Economy: 44 / 53 (chart)
Afghanistan: 47 / 44

Party ID
33% Democrat, 22% Republican, 30% independent (chart)

State of the Country
39% Right Direction, 56% Wrong Track (chart)

2012 President
55% Obama, 34% Palin

 

Comments
sacman701:

November 2012 is a long way off, but it would be more interesting to see Obama matched up against Romney, Huckabee, or even Newt. Republicans have shot themselves in the foot any number of times, but they're not going to shoot themselves in the head by nominating Palin.

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JMSTiger:

I agree sacman.

Why only poll Obama vs. Palin? We all know Palin would be a disaster for the GOP if she got the nomination. I find it interesting they don't ask about Obama vs. Romney or Obama vs. Huckabee. Of course, this is Time we are talking about.

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Huda:

the only job Obama has excelled @ are either foreign policy or national security according to most Americans. Its good for a dem to have these approvals, but domestic policies matter most to the voters and Obama has yet to improve there, even if he's trusted better than any Dems or Repubs so far.

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Field Marshal:

Palin won't win the nomination. If she does, she will almost certainly lose. The GOP field is fairly deep and i doubt that the candidate will even be one of the more touted names out there now.

Obama's foreign policy and Afghanistan numbers, i would bet, are coming more from Republicans approving his job performance then Democrats.

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Xenobion:

Mama Grizzly not doing too hot.

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lat:

Field Marshall and Stillow,

Financial reform has just cleared The Senate and it was your buddy Scott Brown that made it happen. Once again we see that your party has failed! I am waiting for the Tea Party whackos to start calling Scott Brown a traitor, a turncoat, etc.

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obamalover:

@FM

Deep bench for the GOP? LOL!

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Field Marshal:

Hey Stillow,

The Rhodes scholar lat believes the GOP is a failure because they passed a terrible bill with HUGE majorities in both chambers. I know you are as hurt and wounded as I am. Do you know of any support groups we can join?

OL,

Yes. Probably the deepest in many years.

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melvin:

Obama is not going to win the nomination if he gets a good challenger.The far-left is so dissapointed in Obama, am 100% sure Feingold is going to challenge him,dont worry Feingold will win in November,also i hear Senator Byah is thinking about it running in 2012,but he is to Moderate to run in the prmaries,but so is Obama.

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melvin:

Field Marshal ive got bad news for you,Sarah Palin is going to win the Republican nomination,because Moderates do not vote in Primaries and Sarah Palin knows that.I predict she is going to win Lowa and SC, Mich.Sarah Palin should have the nomination wrapped up by Super Tuesday.

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seg:

Finance bill:
This is yet another bill that is so mind-boggling big and so intrusive that it will produce a rolling debacle.

My bet is that the demo minority will join the repub majority in radically revising it in 2011. If the Republicans are cynical enough to play the demos so they cannot vote for a repeal, it multi-dimension inadvertent effects will cost Obama the WH in 2012. School children will recite modern nursery rhymes about the foolishness of enormous congressional bills.

Republican team in 2012:
Mitch Daniels/ Jindal

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iVote:

If you put down the pipe for two seconds Melvin, you'd realize that only 12% of the country identifies as liberal (per Gallup) and only 6% of the country think that Obama isn't liberal enough (per CNN). The far-left will not dictate 2012, no matter how "dissapointed" they may be.

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Stillow:

FM - I guess I will just have to make sure I attend the next klan meeting in my area to help me cope.

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obamalover:

Obama has so many accomplishments. Next up is Energy.

He is going to go down as one of the greatest presidents of all time.

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lat:

Like I said Stillow it was your buddy Scott Brown that put the Dems over the top. Again I am waiting for the Tea Party nuts to start in with this guy they were calling a "hero" just six months ago.

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StatyPolly:

Daniels/ Jindal?

C'mon, Seg, that's no good. First of all, they give up over a foot of height to BO/Biden. Sure, those two will restore fiscal sanity and save the world from the second coming of Dark Ages, but what fun will they be. I bet if that ticket wins, it'll completely dry out Pollster.com comment section.

Better idea:

Palin/Bachmann vs. Hillary/Biden, an all girl final.

It's a dream matchup for TV ratings for debates. Hmmmm Hmmmm Hmmmm.

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lat:

Once again my violins are playing for all the Wall St pieces of crap who caused this mess. Government intrusion my ass, half of these scumbags belong in jail. They got their just deserts today and got off easy in my view.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"the only job Obama has excelled @ are either foreign policy or national security according to most Americans."

I noticed this in 2004, when polls showed Kerry won the FP debate with Bush, but tied or slightly lost the domestic policy debate that everyone expected him to have a natural advantage just because he was a dem.

It was somewhat similar in 2008 - Obama overperformed expectations in the FP debate but McCain had the ball in his court in the domestic debate with the Joe the Plumber stuff, although people had soured on McCain by that 3rd debate anyway so it didn't matter.

It's something the dems need to get their heads around. They haven't had the edge in domestic policy for some time - but they think they do. Republicans have the advantage of simplicity when it comes to those issues.

"The dems will raise your taxes and give YOUR money to UNDESERVING people!" is the basic message. It's simple, concise and emotional. The dems have to nuance their position - why this program is needed, why that group of people should be helped. It's always a disaster when you have to get complex on anything. Basic rule of sales.

It used to be the other way around. Supply side economics used to require complex explanations and appealing to people's bread and butter was simple.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"C'mon, Seg, that's no good. First of all, they give up over a foot of height to BO/Biden."

Maybe useless trivia, but the only presidential election where the shorter man beat the taller one was 2004.

I see Mitch Daniels as the republican version of Adlai Stevenson. Both wonky midwestern governors - short and balding.

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Aaron_in_TX:

oops, I was wrong. There have been elections where the shorter man won - Carter/Ford, Nixon/McGovern. 2004 was the first since the 19th century when there was such a big height difference. Kerry is 6'4," tallest candidate since Lincoln.

Although Daniels won't release his true height. People estimate him at 5'6." That would make him the shortest candidate since James Cox in 1920, ridiculously short by modern standards.

Of course, I'm a big believer that charisma/looks are extremely important in the modern era.

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Field Marshal:

Aaron,

I believe Bush II won twice against taller candidates.

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StatyPolly:

Aaron, I swear I posted that post mentioning candidates' height on the other thread before I read your post here.

I think Sarah Palin might be at least 5'6. That's barefoot. More in pumps,;-)

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Aaron_in_TX:

" think Sarah Palin might be at least 5'6."

Don't get me started about the latent sexism in American politics.

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