10/03-05,08; 909 LV 3.3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Obama 47, McCain 41
All the polls are converging on the same overall numbers - I think they are adjusting their party weightings to similar levels. Battleground was the last poll to fall in line. Even Rasmussen and Daily Kos are in agreement these days. You can't really argue that one poll is "accurate" and another "inaccurate".
Obama has an undeniable lead. Whether it lasts until Election Day is another matter.
State polls are a different issue.. I suspect that polls ( like MN ) are designed to provide a "shock" and draw attention to themselves. Clearly this can be achieved by over-weighting one party or over-sampling one age group. I doubt that many Minnesotans change their minds that frequently.
Posted on October 6, 2008 10:56 AM
The internals of the poll are goofy, McCain better on the economy? lol, then why is he tanking in the RCP average? McCain and Obama just about even on National Security? The top line numbers are in line, but as Boom would say, the internals. FAIL!
Posted on October 6, 2008 11:09 AM
Very interesting numbers inside this poll:
"After closing in on Obama's lead yesterday, McCain has now taken the lead on handling of two key issues. The GOP nominee holds 43-42% leads over Obama on both the economy and energy policy -- McCain's first leads on handling of the economy since 9/10 and first on energy policy since 9/23."
Note: Look at dates for this GWU poll. It is lagging behind (9/30-10/2) whereas other daily trackers are 10/3-10/5). Good to keep that in mind when making comparisons.
Posted on October 6, 2008 11:12 AM
"- After closing in on Obama's lead yesterday, McCain has now taken the lead on handling of two key issues. The GOP nominee holds 43-42% leads over Obama on both the economy and energy policy -- McCain's first leads on handling of the economy since 9/10 and first on energy policy since 9/23."
Yea I saw that.. Does anyone really believe that will hold up anywhere nationally? Obama has consistently been 20 points ahead on the economy and now McCain leads? Fat chance.
Posted on October 6, 2008 11:20 AM
KipTin I wouldn't put too much into the wierd internals on this one since EVERY single other major poll shows the opposite.
Posted on October 6, 2008 11:42 AM
Let Sarah Palin speak! The more gibberish that comes out of her mouth, the more that intelligent people are frightened which = more money donated to Obama and more people motivated to volunteer. She is the best thing that Obama could have ever hoped for. If so much wasn't at stake for mine and my kids futures, she would be comical - oh wait, she already is!
Posted on October 6, 2008 1:21 PM
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