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US: Obama 48, McCain 43 (Ipsos-10/23-27)

Topics: PHome

Ipsos-McClatchy
10/23-27/08; 831 LV, 3.4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
Obama 48, McCain 43

 

Comments
tom brady:

Three thoughts re: recent posts on this site:

First, races do not historically tighten in the last week - they are almost as likely to break wide open.

Second, it is highly unlikely, given the nature of random sampling, that a national poll will be driven by movements in only red states (or only blue states), or among only one candidate's "base".

Third, given the frequency with which states are polled today, we should see true national trends reflected in state polling almost simultaneously. As always, check the dates for those polls before drawing conclusions.

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jamesugw:

I'm confused....On the Ipsos site it's 48-42 and RCP report it as 50-45....what's going on?

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NorthernObserver:

Hey, when did they turn MS pink?

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BOOMFAIL:

Yup, if you open up the IPOS link from RCP, Obama's actual lead is 6%. Maybe wishful thinking from a right leaning site???

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Trosen:

It's just pollster's hourly typo.. Gotta keep the schedule. =)

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PJ_FFM:

Whichever way you turn it, compared to last week's IPSOS/McClatchy it's down from 50:42 (O+8) to 48:42 (O+6).

NOT. GOOD. :(

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Trosen:

You're right PJ.. at this rate.. McCain will overtake Obama in 3 more weeks!

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shirefox:

NorthernObserver, "Hey, when did they turn MS pink?"

It's not your father's map. And it's not Kerry's map either. :)

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BOOMFAIL:

Seeing AZ pink just tickles ME pink!

His own state for

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NW Patrick:

Yawn. Another national poll released by HARRIS today. Obama up 6 and with 50%+ of the vote. See new chat thread for more info.

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mac_1103:

...check the dates for those polls before drawing conclusions.

Check the dates for the national polls, too. This Ipsos poll is two days old, for instance. GWU/Battleground, being a five-day tracker that doesn't poll on Friday or Saturday, often includes one or two days worth of data that is older than almost any state poll is when it's released.

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BarackO'Clinton:

LOL PJ_FFM...as if a 6 point lead less than a week away is a bad thing.

Looked at the state by state polls lately?

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NW Patrick:

Seems it's a typo on this site too at 5. Ipsos says 6! LOL

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