10/23-25, 08; 1,203 LV 2.9%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Obama 49, McCain 44
I think what I'm confused about is the massive leap for McCain. Should we assume he has some massive negative number that fell off? It seems like the largest non-event driven increase in a daily tracker I've seen.
And....maybe we could all be a little nicer? I rely on the comments for analysis and news, and it's sort of ugly.
Posted on October 26, 2008 10:31 AM
Zogby is at the bottom of the reliable list of pollsters.
Look at Rasmussen, look at Gallup and then look at trends.
More importantly, look at state polls. They are all that matter now.
Posted on October 26, 2008 10:49 AM
McCain has gained 2, and Obama has lost 2. What actually happened was that Obama had one very good day last week on Zogby, where he came in at 53%, his highest number ever on . When that day fell off the tracker combined with McCain's 2 point gain, you get the result we see today.
Also keep in mind that Zogby's weighting is based on the 2004 turnout model, which heavily favored Republicans.
Posted on October 26, 2008 10:52 AM
Posted on October 26, 2008 11:06 AM
Zogby has lost credibility this year with his erratic polling and huge swings.
Posted on October 26, 2008 11:11 AM
Anyone else notice that the only time Zogby announces daily subsamples is when the news is good for McCain?
Posted on October 26, 2008 11:16 AM
McCain was on MTP saying that Zogby was down to 3. Liar liar pants on fire?
Posted on October 26, 2008 11:38 AM
Not a lie, just "misleading", as according to Zogby last night's sample of something around 400 "likely voters" came up as a 49 O, 46 M.
See: http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1611 (if you must...)
I'd feel, uhm, like, not-so-good-and-confident about the sample size if I were John Zogby...
Posted on October 26, 2008 11:51 AM
Angus - You are right, good catch.
Posted on October 26, 2008 12:13 PM
zogby came out among the first as an obama supporter so you cant pick and choose folks.
state polls follow national trends.
but dont worry, you're still safe.
aqt least until he's inaugurated, then watch out...the honeymoon is over.
Posted on October 26, 2008 12:50 PM
Phil Berg's lawsuit against Obama has now been filed in seven states, even in the US Supreme Court. This is going to be really big when it blows.
Posted on October 26, 2008 1:06 PM
"aqt least until he's inaugurated, then watch out...the honeymoon is over."
The last 8 years, hell the last 8 weeks has been anything but a honeymoon....what could be WORSE????? (ok, Palin)
Posted on October 26, 2008 1:18 PM
Ummm per Zogby: "Obama continues to win a significant 19% slice of the conservative vote, while McCain now wins only 4% of the support among liberal voters. Among moderates, Obama leads, 60% to 31%." And only up 5? LOL I'LL TAKE IT!
Posted on October 26, 2008 2:20 PM
southern angler keep dreamin' that lawsuit was THROWN OUT in PA with NO EVIDENCE. Go ahead pin y our hopes on that dream.
Posted on October 26, 2008 2:21 PM
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