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US: Obama 52, McCain 40 (Daily Kos 10/10-12)

Topics: PHome

Daily Kos (D)/Research 2000
10/10-12,08; 1,100 LV 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
Obama 52, McCain 40

 

Comments
muckinello:

Steady as they go

____________________

Isher:

McCain at 40%... I mean, 25% are fundamentalist nutjobs who still think Bush is doing a good job... McCain's getting 15% of the vote.

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BOOMFAIL:

@Isher
Agreed.

40% is most likely the floor, as those 40% would vote for a Rethug even if their candidate was a stuffed animal.

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MNLatteLiberal:

boom, OUCH!
et tu, battleground?

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maddiekat:

I remember when McCain was up by two in the GW Battleground poll we were reminded several times by boomcrap that this was the most accurate poll in two out the past three elections.

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johncoz:

The interesting issue will be whose voter model turns out to be more accurate on election night. If McCain still looks like a loser then, it is possible many Repubs may not bother. Together with Obama's GOTV effort, it could vindicate R2K's model and turn this into a real landslide.

At the moment we don't really know, though.

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jonny87:

when will quinnipiac release some new numbers?

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JFactor:

McCain's cealing is at 45%, Obama's at 52%. That says it all. McCain hasn't been able to break the 45% mark consistently at any time during this election. Even his convention bounce didn't raise him near the 50% mark in Pollster's averages.
____________________________________________
http://www.internationalpoliticstoday.com

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Paul:

Strange poll in the sense that all of McCain's internal numbers are the same as day before. Essentially Obama dropped 1 point male and 1 point female. This brings us back to two days ago.

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obamaownsboomcrapnkiptin:

poor boomcrap ....

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mysticlaker:

North Dakota...

If this is true, McCain is in the ****ter. I would want verification with another poll..

http://www.grandforksherald.com/ap/index.cfm?page=view&id=D93PHQN80

O 45
M 43

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OneAngryDwarf:

@mysticlaker

How awesome would that be. Is it me or does the number of state polls seem to be way down in the last week or so?

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Trosen:

mysticlaker.. gotta believe those ND #s are off. Still I'd love to see more polls from "safe" red but not completely out of range states like ND, SD, MT, WV, etc.

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jonny87:

OneAngryDwarf,

where the hell are the polls!

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JFactor:

Yeah, I've noticed that too that state polls weren't released last week as great numbers as two weeks ago. Monday is usually a big day in terms of polls released so I'm hoping we get polls from at least Colorado and Virginia. West Virginia and North Dakota polls would be nice too to get some sense of what's going on there.
___________________________________________
http://www.internationalpoliticstoday.com

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DecaturMark:

Ras

O 50
M 45

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sunnymi:

Rasmussen Tracking:
-------------------

The data continues to suggest a very stable race with Obama as the clear frontrunner. This is the eighteenth straight day that Obama’s support has stayed in the narrow range from 50% to 52% while McCain has been at 44% of 45% (see trends).

Tracking Poll results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.

Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of voters, McCain by 51%. For McCain, that figure in unchanged since yesterday and represents his lowest favorability rating since Obama clinched the Democratic Presidential Nomination in early June (see trends).

A closer look a these numbers suggests an even more substantial advantage for Obama—39% of voters have a Very Favorable opinion of the Democratic nominee while 32% have a Very Unfavorable opinion. The comparable numbers for McCain are 23% Very Favorable and 26% Very Unfavorable.

Just 48% of Republicans have a Very Favorable opinion of their party’s nominee. Seventy-two percent (72%) of Democrats are that enthusiastic about Obama (see other recent demographic highlights).

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maddiekat:

Obama dropped a point however Ras said it is a stable race and Obama is the clear front runner. Expect his numbers to go back up tomorrow.

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sunnymi:


McCain's net favorability numbers for the last 3 nights were +5, +4, +4 (his lowest ever!).
I cannot imagine him sustaining any kind of comeback with these kind of net favorability numbers.

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carl29:

Did you read what is happening with McNasty's favorables?

MCCAIN

Today
10/13/2008
Fav. 51%/Unfav. 47%, +4%
Very Fav. 23%, Very Unf. 26%, -3%

A WEEK AGO
10/06/2008
Fav. 53%/Unfav. 47%, +6%
VeryFav. 24%/Very Unfav. 25%, -1%

OBAMA

TODAY
10/13/2008
Fav. 56%/Unfav. 43%, +13%
Very Fav. 39%/Very Unfav. 32%, +7%

A WEEK AGO

10/06/2008
Fav. 56%/Unfav. 42%, +14%
Very Fav. 38%/Very Unfav. 29%, +9%

McCain's attacks has hurting more than Obama :-) Keep it up McNasty!!!!




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1magine:

Ras is still 50-45. From Ras:

Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of voters, McCain by 51%. For McCain, that figure in unchanged since yesterday and represents his lowest favorability rating since Obama clinched the Democratic Presidential Nomination in early June (see trends).

A closer look a these numbers suggests an even more substantial advantage for Obama—39% of voters have a Very Favorable opinion of the Democratic nominee while 32% have a Very Unfavorable opinion. The comparable numbers for McCain are 23% Very Favorable and 26% Very Unfavorable.

Just 48% of Republicans have a Very Favorable opinion of their party’s nominee. Seventy-two percent (72%) of Democrats are that enthusiastic about Obama (see other recent demographic highlights).

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1magine:

Webster's Dictionary - consistency: See below.

Obama
Spread

10/13/2008
45%
50%
Obama +5

10/12/2008
45%
51%
Obama +6

10/11/2008
45%
52%
Obama +7

10/10/2008
45%
50%
Obama +5

10/09/2008
45%
50%
Obama +5

10/08/2008
45%
51%
Obama +6

10/07/2008
44%
52%
Obama +8

10/06/2008
44%
52%
Obama +8

10/05/2008
44%
51%
Obama +7

10/04/2008
45%
51%
Obama +6

10/03/2008
44%
51%
Obama +7

10/02/2008
44%
51%
Obama +7

10/01/2008
45%
51%
Obama +6

09/30/2008
45%
51%
Obama +6

09/29/2008
45%
50%
Obama +5

09/28/2008
44%
50%
Obama +6

09/27/2008
44%
50%
Obama +6

09/26/2008
45%
50%
Obama +5

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PHILS:

The real ironic thing about this is that its MCcain unfavaroables that are rising not obamas and RCP a week ago had obama at 5.3% now its at 7.0% kinda strange.

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carl29:

PHILS,

McCain is not bringing anything new against Obama. However, this "new/negative" McCain is pretty "surprising" to voters. McCain has made a reputation based on his bi-partisanship and honor, but what he is doing right now contradicts such record. When you hold yourself at X standard, people expect you to do exactly that. If you don't, people becomes disappointed in you. People have the impression that Obama has behaved like a "gentleman" and McCain has become the "mean/nasty" guy. Obama's biggest asset is his demeanor and charming personality. McCain has his honor and "Maverick" brand; however, he is losing it now.

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cinnamonape:

Re. The North Dakota Poll....McCain's numbers shot up impressively after the Palin pick. All through the Spring and Summer the polls were actually showing a quite close race.

Could this be a little bit of the gild coming off the Palin image? Maybe the word is out that she's embellishing that accent and really isn't as much like North Dakotans as she has tried to portray.

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