ABC News / Washington Post
10/26-29/08; 1,327 LV, 2.5%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Obama 52, McCain 44
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:02 PM
8 points. I can live with that I suppose...
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:06 PM
Obama 52, McCain 41
Margin sure is narrowing...As Lou Dobbs (who I despise) is blabbering at this very moment.
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:07 PM
DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE....
In the last few days I've been guilty, like many others on this site, of calling for an Obama landslide. I volunteer for the Obama campaign and unfortunately I think that we may be at risk of being victims of our own success.
Rather than sitting back and savoring a victory that is not yet set in stone, please put your energy towards reaching out to potential Obama voters. Make sure that you can get five people to vote Obama, and make sure those five can get a further five…and so on. There are still some genuine undecideds out there and you could help tilt them Obama’s way by advocating for the Obama/Biden policy proposals. The Dems have better ideas on the economy, taxes, healthcare and energy. When in doubt, remind undecideds of Palin’s interview with Katie Couric….that always seems to sober them up.
While it’s fun to joust with trolls like Boomshak and SouthernAngler, you’ll never change their minds. However, some re-directed energy could help get some marginal voters for Obama. You don’t need to volunteer officially; you could do your own canvassing with family, friends and co-workers. Obama is fighting hard, and he is fighting against some really entrenched negative attitudes out there. He, and our favorite senator from Delaware , will need ALL the help that they can get during these last few days.
I hate to pour cold water on the upbeat mood that predominates this site, but folks, this battle is far from won. John Kerry was ahead in the electoral college projection on November 1, 2004. The fat lady has not yet sung!!!
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:08 PM
Internals from CBS poll..
52-39 in the four way race.
What I find fascinating is how consistently th e larger multi day polls are finding a large lead (minus fox news today)...
It'll be fun to see how it plays out.
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:09 PM
I agree with you on the deterioration of the comments. The comments on this site are powerful because people bring their insightful comments on the mechanics of polling (no matter who they support). Thanks for this site and your attempts to try to keep it civil.
Ireally love this site i started to get tired of the stuff with boom. back to the polls i keep hearing all this stuf that it is tighten up in the polls. all day msnbc has been pumping up the penn poll but they are the only ones who have it that close i still say obama wins tuesady.
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:12 PM
43 M- 40 O
“That's good news for Obama and bad news for McCain,” Renwick explained, “because they’re only separated by two points, and this is supposed to be a McCain state. There should be a much greater differential if this is a McCain state.”
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:13 PM
Are you talking about the mason dixie poll? or did MSNBC have a PA poll that was close as well??
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:14 PM
Just keep watching the state polls. I got an email from the Obama campaign no a couple of hours ago about volunteering to help with their GOTV (I live in AZ).
The fact that so many states are in polling so badly for the McCain campaign is not a good thing. The national polls may tighten as unenthusiastic McCain supports finally discard their supposed "Independent" status and admit what we all knew they were going to do all along.
However that, as they say, is too little, too late. Obama has leads of over 50% in most of the critical battleground states (at least enough to win and then some) so unless McCain can conjure up a miracle or Dems just don't go out and vote it will be next to impossible for Team McCain to come back.
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:17 PM
MSNBC has to talk about their own PA poll even if it’s not favorable to Obama. Last week when the NBC poll had all that troubling info about Palin, they really went to town on it. Fair is fair in my opinion.
I AM SORRY THE MASON DIXIE ONE. WOW ON THE POLL FROM LOUSIANNA MAYBE WE CAN TURN THAT ONE. SORRY FOR SHOUTING.
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:18 PM
LA in play? Will it go pink on the map?
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:20 PM
This poll is pretty accurate, at most 1.5 points too high for obama.
Posted on October 30, 2008 7:56 PM
Boomshak is banned.
What a nice place Pollster is now.
Posted on October 30, 2008 8:24 PM
I really hope obama does a rally in Louisiana , Georgia, Arizona, and North Dakota to end the last few days, i think if he draws large crowds there it will be demoralizing. i really wish he passed up a few rallies in PA to go to other red states just to make a point.
Posted on October 30, 2008 10:41 PM
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