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WA: 2010 Sen (Elway 4/29-5/2)

Topics: Senate , Washington

The Elway Poll
4/29-5/2/10; 405 registered voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(Elway release)

Washington

2010 Senate
51% Murray (D), 34% Rossi (R)
51% Murray (D), 27% Benton (R)
50% Murray (D), 24% Didier (R)
50% Murray (D), 26% Akers (R)

Open Primary
48% Murray, 8% Akers, 5% Benton, 4% Didier

Job Approval / Disapproval
Sen. Murray: 48 / 46

 

Comments
kevin626:

How reputable is this pollster? Never heard of them. But these numbers look a lot better for Murray then Rasmussen.

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sacman701:

Odd. This poll shows Murray with 48/46 job approval, and the Rasmussen poll showing a much tighter race shows her favorability at 52/44. Favorability isn't quite the same thing as job approval and tends to be a few points higher, so given these personal numbers you would expect both polls to show her with about the same size lead.

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Farleftandproud:

It doesn't matter because Rossi knows he doesn't want to lose 3 major elections in 6 years. I am sure if he runs against Gregoire in 2012, he'll get it. He at least has had the honesty to say he doesn't like Washington DC style politics. I couldn't blame him. If I were from as beautiful and awsome of a state as Washington, I wouldn't want to live in a hot and congested place like DC

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Farleftandproud:

Washington does have some extremely conservative strong holds. I was a little worried for awhile in 2004 that Bush was ahead in the polls for a brief period. He only lost by about 4.

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LordMike:

Supposedly, Elway is the gold standard in WA. Please note that at the end of the poll, they weight the numbers by Party ID. The results give Murray the exact same number Rasmussen does... 48%. It's pretty clear that Patty Murray is hovering around 50% in almost all polling. Whether Rossi wants to go after that is up to him, but this Hamlet act of his is growing thin with Republicans. He's doing himself no favors by waiting this out--if you want in, jump in already!

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nelcon1551:

As I said a week or two ago, when SUSA claimed that Rossi could beat Murray, I pointed out how horrible that poll was. Remember, it showed Rossi winning Seattle Metro. What a joke. This poll, by the gold standard Elway group (they're the equivalent in the Pacific Northwest of the Field Poll in CA), they show Murray winning 74% of the vote in Seattle Metro. And, as I also said, she's much more popular in the GOP area of Eastern Wash. because of the jobs she helped create in the Tri-Cities area for the Hanford nuclear cleanup. Elway shows her getting 41% East of the Cascades. No Republican can win statewide in WA unless they get >70% in the East.

Rossi knows all this, which is why my bet is that he doesn't run and Murray ends up with her only competition a rancher and former football player who has never before run for any office, Clint Didier. She'll get about 56-60% of the vote against him. No contest.

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