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WA: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 5/4)

Topics: Senate , Washington

Rasmussen
5/4/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Washington

2010 Senate
48% Murray (D), 46% Rossi (R)
52% Murray (D), 38% Bention (R)
51% Murray (D), 36% Didier (R)
49% Murray (D), 35% Akers (R)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Dino Rossi: 52 / 44
Don Benton: 32 / 30
Patty Murray: 52 / 44
Clint Didier: 28 / 31
Paul Akers: 31 / 29

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 55 / 45
Gov. Gregoire: 45 / 53

 

Comments
Porchnik:

And once you subtract 5-8 points from the Republican to offset the Rasmussen house effect, it's pretty much game over.

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Farleftandproud:

Rossi isn't even running Rasmussen. Unless he changes his mind.

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StatyPolly:

Hey, everyone knows Ras is inaccurate.

SurveyUSA is the gold standard and they had Rossi up by 10. I am going with them!

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Paleo:

Ever wonder how Razz gets the funds to publish so many polls? My bet is on checks with the last name Koch and Scaife on the sig line.

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LordMike:

Well, the gold standard in WA is Elway, and they have Murray leading by 15 points in a brand new poll: 51-36

http://www.scribd.com/doc/30944176/Elway-PollonMurrayre-elect050510-1

That seems to be a bigger spread than anyone else, but the top number is the most important, and that is consistent with most other pollsters.

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LordMike:

Followup... looking at the Elway poll, when they adjust for party ID, Murray gets the exact same number as rasmussen. Rossi is stlll behind by 15. Obviously Rasmussen pushes people to make a choice more than Elway. Regardless, Murray still is in a more formidable position than, say, Feingold was before Thompson dropped out.

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LordMike:

"Ever wonder how Razz gets the funds to publish so many polls? My bet is on checks with the last name Koch and Scaife on the sig line."

Scott Rasmussen funds them. His polling is very cheap to do. Record some questions, press a button on the computer, and a 1000 phone calls go over his Internet connection. The next morning, he wakes up, and the computer spits out the results all weighted and adjusted. The costs are minimal and fixed. He pays for the Internet connection and computers whether he uses them or not. He might as well run some polls at night while his computers aren't doing anything.

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melvin:

Why is the Democrats so worried about the Gop?A top Republican just came out in said the Gop is going to be in the minority from here to eternity,because they cant get minorty voters,the Gop would need 64% of white voters in 2012 to win back the Whitehouse which is impossible,the majority of Americans might support the ARZ immigration law,but in the long run it hurts the Gop bigtime,a latino poll just came out yesterday showing 82% of latinos is going to vote Democrat,thats up from 56% only 2 months ago,in thats troublesome for the Gop..

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LordMike:

Melvin... long term, yes, the GOP is screwed... in the short term, not so much. That's the worry...

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Farleftandproud:

I wonder if Scott Rasmussen hires Illegal aliens? He probably hires low wage labor.

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Paleo:

LM,

SUSA and PPP use the same method, and they don't release anywhere near the number of polls that Razz does.

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CHRIS MERKEY:

He just thinks of them in his head the night before and then post them. I can't make Murray to far behind. That would be too suspicious. I'll make it with the margin of error. Yeah, that the ticket. I am just joking. i don't think he goes this far. I hope not.

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