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2008 Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus

SensIADem.png

What are these numbers? Click here for details.

The chart below plots the standard estimate for each candidate; a chart further down the page plots the three trends of varying intensity.


AIATopDems600.png

(Alternate Chart: All data since 2004)


Pollster Dates N/Pop Biden Clinton Edwards Obama Richardson
ARG12/31/07-1/2/08600 LV83421256
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby
12/30/07-1/2/08905 LV52427317
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby*
12/29/07-1/1/08933 LV42826287
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby*
12/28-31/07925 LV53025265
Strategic Vision (R)12/28-30/07600 LV52729322
Register/Selzer12/27-30/07800 LV42524326
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby*
12/27-30/07899 LV53026265
CNN12/26-30/07482 LV43322317
InsiderAdvantage12/28-29/07788 LV-302922-
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby
12/26-29/07934 LV53124275
McClatchy/MSNBC/
Mason-Dixon
12/26-28/07400 LV823242212
ARG12/26-28/07600 LV53124245
Research 200012/26-27/07500 LV32829297
Strategic Vision (R)12/26-27/07600 LV52928302
Times/Blooomberg12/20-26/07580 CV42925266
ARG12/20-23/07600 LV83420195
ARG12/16-19/07600 LV82918257
Strategic Vision (R)12/16-18/07600 LV52727303
CNN12/14-18/07543 LV33026287
Rasmussen12/17/2007775 LV53122279
InsiderAdvantage12/16-17/07633 HLV-242627-
ABC/Post12/13-17/07652 LV42920338
Research 200012/10-13/07500 LV32424339
Diageo/Hotline12/7-12/07569 LV52722278
Rasmussen12/10/20071106 LV52922267
Strategic Vision (R)12/8-10/07600 LV42524334
Newsweek12/5-6/07395 LV42918359
McClatchy-MSNBC12/3-6/07400 LV52721259
GSG (D-Edwards)12/3-5/07503 LV62724229
Strategic Vision (R)11/30-12/2/07600 LV52525323
Zogby11/29-12/01/07514 LV52721248
ARG11/26-29/07600 LV82523274
Register/Selzer11/25-28/07500 LV62523289
Rasmussen11/26-27/071156 LV427242510
Strategic Vision (R)11/23-25/07600 LV42923296
Pew/AP11/7-25/07460 LV231192610
ABC/Post11/14-18/07500 LV426223011
Iowa State11/6-18/07287 LV431242011
Research 200011/12-14/07400 LV427212510
ARG11/10-14/07600 LV527202112
Rasmussen11/12/20071239 LV329252410
Strategic Vision (R)11/9-12/07600 LV52920277
CBS/Times11/2-12/07793 LV425232212
Zogby11/6/2007502 LV32821259
ARG10/26-29/07600 LV53215227
U of Iowa10/17-24/07306 LV52920277
Strategic Vision (R)10/12-14/07600 LV62820239
Rasmussen10/10-14/071007 LV43322219
Register/Selzer10/1-3/07399 LV52923228
ARG9/26-29/07600 LV330192410
Newsweek9/26-27/07 LV524222810
Strategic Vision (R)9/21-23/07600 LV424222113
Times/Blooomberg9/6-10/07462 LV228231910
ARG8/26-29/07600 LV128202313
TIME8/22-26/07519 LV524292211
Strategic Vision (R)8/17-19/07600 LV521232214
Zogby8/17-19/07503 LV330231910
Hart (D)/
McLaughlin (R)
8/2-3/07509 LV522301813
ABC/Post7/26-31/07500 LV226262711
ARG7/26-30/07600 LV330211513
Research 20007/23-25/07400 LV322271611
ARG6/26-30/07600 LV23229135
Strategic Vision (R)6/22-24/07600 LV420262111
FMMA
(D-Richardson)
6/18-20/07500 LV224341713
Mason-Dixon6/13-16/07400 LV42221186
PPP (D)5/30/20071238 LV417311710
ARG5/23-26/07600 LV33125118
Strategic Vision (R)5/18-20/07600 LV31629249
Register/Selzer5/12-16/07400 LV321292310
Research 20005/14-15/07400 LV22826227
Zogby5/14-15/07511 LV52124236
ARG4/27-30/07600 LV62327195
Strategic Vision (R)3/30-4/1/07600 LV41927204
Zogby3/26/2007506 LV32527233
ARG3/19-22/07600 LV23433161
Strategic Vision (R)2/16-2/18/07600 LV51824183
ARG2/2007600 LV23127231
Zogby2/7-9/07500 LV42424180
ARG1/29-2/1/07600 LV23518141
Strategic Vision (R)1/19-21/07600 LV41525171
Zogby1/15-16/07596 LV31627171
ARG12/19-23/06600 LV23120101
Research 200012/18-20/06400 LV11022221
Harstad (D)10/12-19/06602 LV51636132
Selzer & Co.5/29-6/1/06399 LV-2630--
U of Iowa7/29-8/5/07319 LV-2526199
FMMA
(D-Richardson)
6/18-20/07500 LV323311618
Zogby5/14-15/07511 LV42426226
U of Iowa3/19-31/07298 LV-293419-

* denotes a survey not plotted in our charts, click here for further explanation.

(Download printable .pdf with polling data for all active candidates.)


Trends of Varying Sensitivity

AIAsDems600.png


All Candidates

AIADems600.png

(Alternate Chart: All data since 2004)

View all Iowa charts and poll data here.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR